Green Bay Packers v. Bears: Behind the Numbers Part II

Here is a look at the stats and figures that helped define what was a wild win for the Green Bay Packers over the Chicago Bears.

Well, that game was something, wasn't it? 

Despite a rocky start and numerous blunders by the special teams unit, the Green Bay Packers came away with the win over Chicago to improve to 10-3 on the season.

As we do following each Packers game, it's time to go Behind the Numbers, taking a look at the stats and figures that you need to know from Green Bay's performance.

15

Typically the opening script for an offense is around 15 plays, so this figure is just an estimate, but you get the idea. A big reason behind Green Bay's success on offense in 2020 was that they were able to get off to fast starts, finding quite a bit of success with Matt LaFleur's opening script of play calls. However, that hasn't been the case this year.

"At times the last couple years we've been so good in the first 15 to 20 plays that we script, and scoring on opening drives, touchdowns," said quarterback Aaron Rodgers via Packers.com following the Vikings game. "Hasn't really been the case this year. We've been a lot slower starting, so we gotta look at that."

As always, there's much more that goes into it, but it seems quite clear that this offense is at its best when utilizing the quick passing game and when they have a good run/pass mix. Not to mention that motion, play-action, and getting the ball to the pass-catchers in space have all been vital to Green Bay's success as well.

But once again, early on, we saw Rodgers holding on to the ball, looking for the shot play downfield despite defenses playing heavy cover-2 against Green Bay and with an offensive line down several starters. 

Why is this the case? I have no idea. Sure, the deep ball is an important aspect of this offense, but Rodgers and LaFleur are trying to force it way too much instead of letting those opportunities present themselves.

89

It was a rough few weeks for Allen Lazard heading into the bye week that included some dropped passes, but he was able to find his groove against Chicago. With Randall Cobb sidelined, Lazard took quite a few of those slot snaps and finished the game with 75 receiving yards, one touchdown, and 14 yards on a jet sweep, along with some key blocks as well. 

35:00

The Green Bay Packers entered Sunday's game second in time of possession this season, holding the ball for an average of over 32 minutes per game. While against the Bears, it didn't begin with Green Bay dominating the clock; it finished that way with the Packers holding the ball for 35:00.

 54 and 46

Through nine games, this Green Bay Packers defense had been really good at limiting the big play. In fact, with their lightboxes and heavy cover-2 look, they were one of the best in football at it. Unfortunately, that hasn't been the case since the Minnesota game, and we again saw their opponent rip off some chunk plays. On two fairly quick passing plays, Damiere Byrd had a 54-yard reception and Jakeem Grant a 46-yard reception.

Too many to count

By PFF and Football Outsider's metrics, the Packers entered the game with one of the worst special teams units in football. But somehow, they made all their previous blunders look quite tame in comparison to the display they put on against Chicago.

 

 

In addition to what Matt noted in the first half, we saw a muffed punt by Amari Rodgers that was fortunately called back due to a flag. More poor return coverage, a shanked punt from Corey Bojorquez, and a missed onside recovery by Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

 

While, yes, players have to make plays, at the end of the day, the responsibility falls on Maurice Drayton. When asked after the game if Green Bay would move on from Drayton, LaFleur replied with "absolutely not." However, something has to change.

22

There weren't huge sack totals posted by Green Bay against the elusive Justin Fields, but as OLB Coach Mike Smith says, he will take consistent pressure over sacks every day--and that is what we saw on Sunday night. The Green Bay Packers were able to pressure Fields on 22 of his 43 dropbacks, according to PFF. When kept clean, Fields averaged 10.2 yards per attempt, but under pressure, that figure fell to only 3.2.

1

Now, granted, the Bears' passing attack hasn't exactly been potent this season, but it was another impressive showing from the Green Bay Packers' cornerbacks. According to PFF's game recap article, Rasul Douglas didn't allow a reception on his two targets, and of course, he came away with another pick-6. Meanwhile, Chandon Sullivan, who has had a nice season, allowed one completion on four targets for 25 yards and had an interception of his own. We also very rarely heard Eric Stokes' name called. The players deserve the credit, but so does Joe Barry's scheme that utilizes lightboxes and a heavy cover-2 look to provide these corners with some assistance.

4

We will see what the exact diagnosis is on Billy Turner's knee, but it looks like the Green Bay Packers could be without four of their five preferred starters along the offensive line, with Royce Newman being the only player still at his original starting position. 

Yet despite losing Turner, the offensive line unit with Dennis Kelly held up well, with the run game averaging 5.0 yards per carry and the offensive line being credited with allowing only one sack. But the big question that remains is, can this unit continue to fight through these injuries and play at a high level?

We will see, but some good news is that LaFleur did say that he hopes David Bakhtiari will return to practice later this week. 

42

Now, of course, it helps to play with a lead, but the run defense had another nice performance, holding David Montgomery to only 42 yards on 10 carries, and 20 of those yards came on one rush. The Green Bay Packers are yet to allow a 100-yard rusher this season.

121 and 341

Despite the slow start for the offense, Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers put up huge numbers as they often do. I said recently that it can be easy not to realize the moment just how well these two are playing, given that they do it so often. But the fact that they can put up these types of numbers with such ease is incredibly impressive and shouldn't go unnoticed. 

Rodgers finished the game completing 29 of 37 for 341 yards and four touchdowns. Adams, meanwhile, caught 10 of his 13 targets for 121 yards and two touchdowns. 

1

The Green Bay Packers magic number to clinch the NFC North is down to one game--which means they just have to win one of their final four, or Minnesota has to lose one of their final four.  

 

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__________________________

Born and raised in Green Bay, WI and I still call it home. After my family, watching the Packers, sharing my opinions on the team through my writing and interacting with other fans is my greatest passion. You can find me on Twitter at @Paul_Bretl. 
 

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8 points
 

Comments (24)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Brockrice99's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:20 am

Anytime the Special Teams Unit comes onto the field I assume something horrific will happen, and when something bad doesn't happen it is a pleasant surprise. But the offensive line injuries are beginning to scare me... Elgton, Billy, Myers, Bahk still not back, it is all very concerning. Especially because to get to the Super Bowl we will have to go through Tampa and they will bring the heat, like they always have against us, and with a banged up OL that is a scary thought.

7 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:25 am

Adams is Houdini after the snap. It is uncanny how he moves his feet and controls his body to leave opposing DB jock straps in the grass.

He's not elite fast...but he is elite getting open....he and Rodgers read each other's minds.

7 points
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stockholder's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:43 am

I didn't like the call on him. Pushing off ??????????????????

7 points
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Caden819's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:53 am

Yeah pushing off because he was being held almost the entire time. Sometimes I wonder what the refs are actually seeing

3 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:58 am

"Sometimes I wonder what the refs are actually seeing."

Sometimes I wonder if it is cash in an envelope.

4 points
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10ve 💚's picture

December 13, 2021 at 10:50 pm

Don't blame the refs ~~.

They are just following orders. Betting is serious business!

3 points
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Ya_tittle's picture

December 13, 2021 at 12:53 pm

That was garbage!

3 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

December 13, 2021 at 11:36 am

To add another number - quadrillion - which will reflect Dillon's next contract.

3 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

December 13, 2021 at 12:04 pm

That game was one of the most unsatisfying wins of the year due to STs.

Matt doubles down on on keeping Mo...who must go...today. Same issues over and over all season. Matt is not holding his ST coach accountable. That has to affect the team. He has around 10 players on his leadership team...wonder they are telling him?

4 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

December 14, 2021 at 05:36 am

Maybe the most telling aspect is that the problems with STs are not limited to one aspect.

1. Punt Coverage Unit: fail.
2. Kickoff Coverage Unit: Fail.
3. Punt blocking unit: bad.
4. Kickoff blocking unit: Fail.
5. Field Goal/PTA Unit: fail.
5a: Long snapper: bad
5b: Holding: bad
5c: Blocking: bad
6. Kickoff returner: pedestrian would be an improvement.
7. Punt returner: fail.

1 points
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Coldworld's picture

December 13, 2021 at 12:20 pm

Mo must go!

Historically awful across the board

4 points
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ImaPayne's picture

December 13, 2021 at 12:35 pm

1. Chicago was missing its two top pass rushers and still put a licking on Rodgers in the first half. Fortunately they changed his routine and had him roll out in the second half, made a world of differenct.
2. Our pass rush barely got to Fields in the first half. Again, we adjusted and added another rusher in the second half and things went to heck for chicago.
3. Its not that special teams play is bad its two things: lack of speed and tackling and lack of knowing the rules. You catch a ball headed out of bounds and your stepping out to get it, you cost your team 35 yards. Its not dumb its you either cant learn the rules or no one taught you the rules. Ditto to MVS, the ball was going over you head out of bounds let it. It your possession. Either that or bat it out. Your possession. Dumb to not know that.
This special teams lack speed. No one came close to stopping the 97 yard run. He left all packers in the dust, it was no contest. Ditto for the running back who caught a short pass and raced to the end zone leaving everyone in the dust. Where was Stokes great speed???

-1 points
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Caden819's picture

December 13, 2021 at 01:57 pm

" Ditto for the running back who caught a short pass and raced to the end zone leaving everyone in the dust. Where was Stokes great speed???"

You mean the wide receiver who caught the ball from the slot who Henry Black was covering? I don't know how you expect Stokes to catch a man down field who wasn't even in his proximity

7 points
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jurp's picture

December 14, 2021 at 07:55 am

It looked like MVS was trying to bat the ball out of bounds, but like every other returner this year, he muffed it.

0 points
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Swisch's picture

December 13, 2021 at 12:53 pm

9/75/5:36 -- plays/yards/time on the opening drive of second half for a touchdown to take the lead.
13/71/8:38 -- plays/yards/time on the final drive of game for a touchdown to seal the deal.
As I remember it, this was all courtesy of small ball -- in a wonderful display by the Packers offense performed with a creative array of runs and passes -- and not one throw deep.
I do like the long passes -- but there's a lot to be said for taking what the defense gives us, including early in the game to get a fast start in scoring points.
The small ball sets up the long ball, or so it seems.
P.S. I remember a long pass to MVS and one to Lazard in which both were well covered. I'm not sure why, in these cases, Rodgers can't check down to another receiver. It seems so simple: If the deep guy is open, throw it; if the deep guy is covered, check down. Am I missing something?

5 points
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scullyitsme's picture

December 13, 2021 at 01:05 pm

Might have something to do with 300lb lineman trying to crush you. Also, occasional one on one shots deep are standard in the nfl, tie goes to the receiver as well as pass interference penalty’s. Pretty simple really.

2 points
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croatpackfan's picture

December 14, 2021 at 12:13 am

It is logical when you see "300lb lineman trying to crush you" to release the ball quickly from your hand. So you'll need short distance pass, not a long one. If you try long one there is much more chance the long pass will not be on target. That is why you need to start short pass and running game at first. To buy some time later for accurate long throw.

It is that simple!

-1 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

December 14, 2021 at 05:44 am

Yes, but there needs to be a throwing lane for those short passes. The pass swung out wide to the flat need to come out quickly to avoid them being jumped. The long pass under duress can be done because the QB can use a high trajectory to keep the pass from being tipped or batted down. Sadly, the Packers really don't have a guy who is good at contested passes, and most of those longer passes look hopeless.

1 points
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Demon's picture

December 13, 2021 at 02:54 pm

Did I see that AR had a passer rating of 145.2? You are criticizing that kind of performance? YGBSM!!! some people need to put personal feelings and beliefs aside and enjoy the game.

How many QBs in the NFL could overcome such atrocious ST play and still come out with 45 points and a win against a divisional opponent? I don't know of one.

1 points
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Swisch's picture

December 13, 2021 at 03:44 pm

Okay, it would have been good for me to say (with sincerity) that Rodgers was excellent in leading the two long touchdown drives that I noted -- and, as usual, masterful in general as quarterback for the Packers in this game.
However, that doesn't mean he was flawless. Idolization doesn't help Rodgers to get better. I'm thinking about beating the Bucs in the playoffs, not just the Bears in the regular season.
***
Over the years, I've tried to appreciate all the wonderful plays by Rodgers in leading the Packers to a Super Bowl win and four trips the NFC Championship Game.
As much as the playoff losses hurt, I try to be glad for how far the Packers make it in most seasons as one of the better teams in the NFL.
Of late, however, I've been more critical of Rodgers -- especially as he's become critical of the team.
He has trashed the front office without an apology (that I'm aware of). He doesn't seem to be all that coachable.
He didn't seem to stand behind Mike McCarthy as head coach, when after so many good seasons things started to go bad. As someone who claims to prize loyalty, did he come through for the coach with whom he had had so much success?
This past offseason, he almost bailed out on Matt LaFleur as head coach -- as well as his teammates and fans -- for perceived slights to his stature (by the front office, supposedly) in what appears to be arrogance on his part.
Also, he makes something like one-fifth of the payroll for the entire team, so he should be a superstar game in and game out.
***
I'm still a big fan of Rodgers, but not an unquestioning fan.
It bothers me when Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth fawn over him for his supposed honesty. If we're being honest, what happened last season in the playoff game against the Bucs in the fourth quarter, as far as Rodgers following or not following the direction of LaFleur in calling plays -- especially with first and goal from the 8-yard-line?
To care about someone as a friend, and even as a fan, is to be honest. That does involve rightful praise and a healthy measure of positivity, but also expressing concerns.
I'm rooting for Aaron Rodgers, as always, this season, and enjoying his overall excellence. However, just because things are generally going quite well for the Packers as of now, doesn't mean I'm going to turn a blind eye to his faults.
That's not going to help Rodgers and the Packers get past Tom Brady and the Bucs.
For the good of Rodgers and all who support the Packers, I'm asking him to continue to improve as a player and a person in an effort to take himself and the team up a notch.
If he does make a genuine effort in that regard, then I'll stand behind him win or lose.
***
As Vince Lombardi seemed to say, winning isn't everything, but doing everything possible to win is everything.

-2 points
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scullyitsme's picture

December 13, 2021 at 01:01 pm

As much as I disagree with the Rodgers throws deep too often premise, at least you sort of pointed out Lafleur might have something to do with it instead of going for the cheesehead tv” hero ball” comment about Rodgers. I Find that refreshing 😀

2 points
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PackerAaron's picture

December 13, 2021 at 01:07 pm

Only one guy is making the throws.

1 points
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scullyitsme's picture

December 13, 2021 at 01:57 pm

As stated above, it’s quite standard in the nfl to throw deep one on one balls. So the nfl disagrees with you. Guess my point t is I saw Brady launch about 5 deep balls into coverage yesterday but somehow I don’t think Tampa bay fans on a Tampa Bay website have a problem with it.

2 points
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Justin Morrow's picture

December 13, 2021 at 02:57 pm

I don’t mind some deep shots throughout the game if not open to keep the D honest, but not on 3rd & short. Just move the chains on 3rd & go for the higher % plays

4 points
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