Green Bay’s 4 Biggest Needs in the 2024 NFL Draft

The Packers have several long-term needs which must be addressed in the upcoming draft.

Safety

No prizes for guessing the top need on Green Bay’s roster, both short term and long term.

The Packers are currently set to have no proven commodities at safety heading into the 2024 season, and while that could change once free agency opens, they also need to add players for the future.

In 2019, Brian Gutekunst signed Adrian Amos in free agency before drafting Darnell Savage in the first round. Expect a similar approach this offseason as the Packers look to improve, and add depth to, the safety position for the next few years.

Running back

Aaron Jones guaranteed his return to Green Bay this year with a fantastic end to 2023, but his contract ends after this season, and he will be 30 when it does. Meanwhile, A.J. Dillon is set to hit free agency in just under a month.

The Packers therefore need to fill the power back role Dillon will vacate, as well as set up a succession plan for Jones’ eventual departure.

With Jones already set to count $17.5m against the cap in 2024, that is not likely to be done in free agency, so the draft will be vital for the Packers as they look to support Jordan Love with an efficient running game for years to come.

Even if the Packers bring back Dillon on a short-term deal, they will probably add two running backs in this year’s draft.

Offensive line

Green Bay’s prospective offensive line looks solid ahead of the 2024 season, with Rasheed Walker, Elgton Jenkins, Josh Myers, Sean Rhyan, and Zach Tom already proving themselves to be a strong unit. There is still a chance David Bakhtiari could enter that mix, too.

But after Gutekunst did not draft an offensive lineman for the first time last year, the cupboard needs to be restocked with more depth and competition.

It is completely possible Bakhtiari has played his final snaps in Green Bay, and the current group of backups are either unproven (Caleb Jones, Luke Tenuta, Kadeem Telfort), or have proven themselves to be inadequate (Royce Newman).

Myers will be a free agent next season and has not done enough to earn a contract extension yet. Rasheed Walker and Sean Rhyan have acquitted themselves well, but the Packers would still like to provide competition for those spots.

Gutekunst should revert to form in this year’s draft, selecting multiple offensive linemen.

Cornerback

While versatility is typically paramount for the Packers, it is in the team’s best interest to start treating the nickel corner position as a true starter and looking to draft a player specifically to fill that role.

Jaire Alexander has the prototypical athletic profile and lack of size which should make him a prime candidate to play inside more, but his ability (or willingness) to tackle, an important part of the slot corner position, has diminished since suffering a serious shoulder injury in 2021.

Even if new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley does decide to play Alexander inside more, the projected starting outside corners for Green Bay would be Carrington Valentine and (hopefully) Eric Stokes.

Valentine played well for a seventh-round rookie in 2023, and showed he can play in the NFL, but the Packers should not be making long-term roster building decisions based on him.

The same goes for Stokes, who has been so injury-riddled since 2022, it is hard to know what to expect if and when he returns to the field on a consistent basis.

Green Bay should look to add a quality corner in the draft to shore up the position.

 

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Mark Oldacres is a sports writer from Birmingham, England and a Green Bay Packers fan. You can follow him on twitter at @MarkOldacres

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6 points
 

Comments (98)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 16, 2024 at 06:28 am

Carrington Valentine should ABSOLUTELY be counted on. His RAS was 9.29! He's almost 6' tall and 193 pounds, ran a 4.44 40, had a vertical jump of 39 inches and a broad jump of 10'8. He played as well as most rookie first round pick cornerbacks. He'll also start this season at 22 years old--the typical rookie age, so he should only get BETTER.
That said, I do hope we add another CB in the draft, possibly two, with one targeting a starting nickel back job.

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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:47 am

Alexander and Valentine give the Packers two quality starters at CB with a third, Stokes, in the wings if they can figure out his hamstring issue. I think Stokes will be a good fit for Hafley's system of more press man coverage if they can keep him healthy. I also wouldn't mind seeing the Packers resign Nixon and/or Ballentine as they are serviceable backups.

I think the priority the Packers assign to drafting a CB will be a function of Stokes health along with what happens to Nixon and Ballentine in free agency.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 16, 2024 at 06:41 am

My greatest hope for our first pick is that we get a top center or guard/tackle (Jackson Powers-Johnson at 25 maybe, or trade down a little and get Zach Frazier--love those wrestler-centers!). If we get a top guard/tackle prospect, and there are many, we'd have the ability to move Tom or Jenkins to center if Myers continues to not be impressive. I see this as equal to safety as our "biggest need" because we have NO one behind Myers, unless we put Tom or Jenkins there, and then we have a huge hole at guard or tackle. Hopefully, Myers and Rhyan improve and lock down their positions, but we'd still need a backup center.

It seems likely to me that we will re-sign Savage and another guy, plus we have Anthony Johnson Jr. who now has a year of experience in the NFL. I'd love to sign or draft someone with (successful) experience playing the deep, one-high role.

With the assumed re-signing of Aaron Jones and return of Emmanuel Wilson, I see RB as only a moderate need; I want one, but if the value isn't there, I wouldn't burn a draft choice until the fourth or fifth round. If the value IS there on the Packer's Big Board, by all means, take one.

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LambeauPlain's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:49 am

Jones was a 5th rounder.

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Coldworld's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:12 am

Bakh was a 4th, as was Tom, Narco Rivera was a 6th, Tauscher a 7th as was Scottie Wells. (And Jim Ringo, but he’s too far back to compare like Bart).

At skill positions, Ahman Green a 3rd, Brady a 6th, Jamaal Anderson a 7th: Driver too. Yes it can happen. Probably not a good bet to make though.

Jones might make our all time best value pick as the best RB pick in later rounds in the relatively modern era. Great to get, not to bet on getting again.

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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:19 am

We all make typos CW, but I was chuckling as I am not sure Rivera would appreciate being known as "Narco". I think you were looking for the "m" as in Marco.

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TKWorldWide's picture

February 16, 2024 at 05:54 pm

Oddly, there was not a single Packer found guilty of violating the substance abuse policy during Mr. Rivera’s tenure.
Coincidence?
I think not.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:22 am

So far three downvotes, but I have no idea what they are downvoting.
A little debate would be appreciated!
:-D

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:16 pm

I imagine the downvotes were from a sizable group of fans who are tired of the talk about moving Tom anywhere. Since I floated that idea quite a few times myself, I gave you a pass even though I've come to reconsider whether it actually would be a good idea.

I actually disagreed more with your first comment about relying on Valentine. I liked a lot of what I saw from him, and I think he is promising, but I'm not ready to anoint him just yet. I let that comment go because my concern was that we've seen a lot of guys look good in limited play but when asked to be full-time guys, things get a little rockier. But I was researching an article a few days ago (keeping Savage) and noted that Valentine played 695 snaps in the regular season and 152 more in the playoffs. 847 snaps makes that concern invalid.

I don't think Valentine had as good of a rookie season as other fans do, and I don't think it was as good as the rookie season Stokes produced, but it was good enough for me not to quibble.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:44 pm

He's a dime CB.

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MooPack's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:38 pm

I never down vote and never will. I just see it as everyone is entitled to their opinion. I also didn't upvote because of first sentence regarding Jackson Powers-Johnson and Frazier. I think they are overachievers. Nothing necessarily wrong with that and many times a great thing, but they usually get that moniker because they are not physically/athletically on par with others. I'm not big on the Center draft list this year. OG and OT are much better. I do think a Tom move to Center is in the best interest of the team. Myers would be a good backup there. Bring in a true RT and RG early and this line would be set from Jenkins -> Right for many years. I'd leave Jenkins where he is. If he gets back to pre-injury form, he is a Pro-bowl LG. LT's will probably be gone unless Jordan Morgan is there. He is a true LT.

I also don't see a re-signing of Savage, no matter how cheap, as any advantage. Even in a new scheme. We've seen his play. Too many lows to make up for any highs. They can do better.

I value RB's more than most. I don't get it. They get more touches than any other offensive player. I get the league is passing centric, but RB's still have a great impact. Are you telling me Packers would have been ok without Jones coming back and lighting it up at seasons end? Outside of Jones, who shouldn't be relied on to last the whole season without injury of some kind, I wouldn't count on any RB on the roster to take his place. To me that means at least 3rd round where they will start to come off.

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HawkPacker's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:03 am

"The Packers therefore need to fill the power back role Dillon will vacate, as well as set up a succession plan for Jones’ eventual departure."

Give me two Aaron Jones clones and forget the heavy, slower power back.

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GregC's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:23 am

Yeah, I've completely soured on the whole idea of the Packers having a power back. The conventional wisdom is that you want a power back for bad weather games, but I'm not sure that matters anymore. How many bad weather games did A.J.Dillon help us win? I'm not sure that power backs are that much better in short yardage situations either. I always thought Aaron Jones was better than A.J. Dillon at gaining a yard. If you want to run a straight-ahead power play in that situation, there is always the quarterback sneak. We've been spoiled by Aaron Jones of course. He's a fast, elusive runner who also has power and has become a very good blocker. It will be hard to find another player of his caliber. But that's the kind of player they should try to find. A faster, more elusive RB can stress a defense in multiple ways.

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WD's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:35 am

It is amusing yet sad to see some fans easily dismiss AJ Dillon. I think he was sorely missed in the final game against the Niners. As I see it without him we have only one RB. Aaron Jones. Furthermore there are some big backs that are very fast and at times even explosive. The kid from Wisconsin comes to mind: Brae Allen. I could see him dropping to the third round maybe even forth. Don't forget we draft at number 25 this year not in the top 10. My PRE COMBINE ideal mock is #25 Cooper De jean S/CB, #41Edgerin Cooper LB, #58 T' Vondre DT, #88 Blake Corum RB, #91Max Melton CB, #126 Best available O-Line, Rounds 5-7 BAA. It is unlikely any top WRs would fall to 25, so I do not think the Packers should draft a WR at all. Every WR taken is an opportunity cost to another more important position.

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ImaPayne's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:58 pm

Same page city here. Dillon isn't Jones. His style scares no one and defenses aren't worried about him breaking one lose.
I would take two Jones clones any time. Reid had a trio of very fast slippery backs who caught the ball and made yards after. Dillon? His type is old school. Adios.

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HawkPacker's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:05 am

"Green Bay should look to add a quality corner in the draft to shore up the position."

Totally agree and if available select Cooper Dejean out of Iowa. Great player and teammate as well as fast and heady too.

With all of our early picks in the first three rounds, we should be able to address all of our 'weak' areas and hopefully they will all come to fruition.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 02:44 pm

He would have to move UP btw #10-15.

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ImaPayne's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:04 pm

Amen. One mock I read today had the pack taking a corner guy who plays safety and corner with our one pick. Good idea I don't like Stokes he is a mental retard

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Idaho Cheese's picture

February 17, 2024 at 11:54 am

Retard? Is that a simple projection?

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:14 am

LONG TERM.? - NOW- Thats the solution.
Every position listed has been a revolving door.
Whether it be a 3rd back.
DB. Depth.
Or OL- that never made it back to the roster.

We're right back to guessing the future of are Vets.
And the cap, has seen some must moves.

So stop the revolving door. -
Gutey's next move is fixing, age 30 and over.
Bahk, P. Smith, and Campbell.
The heart of any team by position.
You'll keep the shelf stocked by drafting by age first.

The bottom feeders are all about BPA.
But the numbers are always the fix.
Need must match Long Term.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 02:50 pm

If he wants another contract extension, he has to hit on the defensive playmakers from the Draft. The TED Show was a getting a bit depressing looking at all the square pegs and Gutey has one All-PRO from his past SIX drafts.
Jenkins had an All-PRO year in 2023 for the offensive side. The other guys were from Ted drafts.Players, not Plays...

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golfpacker1's picture

February 17, 2024 at 08:56 am

You know Stock, talking about finding long term players is going to be a tough thing to accomplish because of the salary cap. The only way a team keeps a player longer than 4 years is if they have talent and would be an asset to the team. But you have to pay them more or someone else will grab them. Players staying with one team will take an ongoing mutual financial negotiation.

The problem is the salary cap and the fact that the increases have not been keeping pace with how salaries have jumped the last 5-10 years, Even a decent QB makes $40 million a year. OTs and Edge rushers are in the $20 millions per year. The cap needs to be going up by $25 to $30 million per year to catch up, not $15 to $20 million per year.

Teams are trying to weasel around the cap by pushing money back and that is a recipe for disaster. It's also time to go from a 53 to 60 man roster. Its a brutal sport and you don't want to see what happened to SF last year become a common occurance.

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

February 16, 2024 at 07:50 am

I was thinking about this, from a needs and numbers perspective, allowing for the relatively limited cap I expect to be available—thank you TGR for explaining that so clearly recently—I am not a fan of significant kicking cap to burden this team as the skill players and Love continue to develop. Overall, we have a lot of needs.

On O we need 2 Gs and a C (it’s possible that one pick could genuinely cover both positions admittedly but it has to be genuinely this year to count in my view). That can come in part from resigning Runyon if injuries really were his issue prior to December and he’s reasonably cheap, but we still need to replace Newman and have a credible rival for Myers. We should now look to keep Tom at T. We need at least a swing T since Nijman is gone I believe, even if they believe in Jones or Tenuta.

We need a RB to back up and eventually replace Jones in a Jones like role. We need some option as a power back too if we don’t bring back Dillon. I wouldn’t. Wilson needs competition.

Thats about 5 picks, maybe 6 if we don’t bring any FA back and Runyon is the only one I can think might be on O.

On D we need a FS and a SS to start. I advocate signing a cheaper but adequate free agent FS because experience counts there, then drafting behind him. Ideally we could pick up a similar SS, but those are easier to find in the draft perhaps. Even if we get 2 FAs I’d be drafting a couple to compete with Johnson and Sapp to back up and hopefully surpass.

We probably (if the expectations of a Hafley D are accurate) need 2 front 7 players. An interior DL possibly and definitely an ILB, perhaps 2.

We need a slot. Even if we can get Nixon back ( and I hope we do) he needs competition on D and we need depth. Hafley seems more inclined to use bigger S types, but Nixon is physical.

We need a CB too, probably 2. Jaire, Valentine, Stokes and nothing.

That’s about 8 picks. So 12 or 13 needs absent resigning or acquiring. We are expected to have 11 picks I believe. Not all are going to work out, this year or ever. We are going to need a great draft and ideally a steal UDFA somewhere.

DB/ILB/S early (assuming no FAs signed). OL probably mid rounds, perhaps unless a premium T falls, which I doubt. ILB priority probably depends on their assessment of Campbell’s future health/ability. An RB on day two I suspect. The rest are later development types.

We need to hit on a lot of picks this year to fill holes and transition on D as well. Two or three value tier 2/3 FAs might be needed to give this a chance. That’s why I can see us bringing back guys like Owens or Wilson (ILB) as cheap players to provide experience, ST help and allow us time to develop behind them.

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Since'61's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:12 am

The Packers have major holes to full at Safety, OL, CB and RB. That will be difficult to achieve via the draft and a limited salary cap to sign FAs. An impact player at safety would be an excellent accomplishment during the draft. Solid depth at OL should be the next goal. Then CB and RB. If Jones is retained then focus on depth and development at RB.

Until questions about Stokes health are answered CB will be a question mark although depth can still be added via the draft. With 11 picks the Packers should also acquire some depth at both ILB and OLB. If we can add inexpensive FAs for depth at any of these position groups that would ease some pressure on the draft.

The Packers may need to stand pat at WR, TE and DL for 2024. Following Ron Wolf's approach of adding a mid to late round QB every season should not be ruled out either. Finally bring in a kicker to challenge Carlson during TC. GPG! Thanks, Since '61

5 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:40 am

Jones better be retained.

2 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:55 am

LB...a true off ball, heat seeking LB that can track and blitz ...is a top 2 positional need, after S in my opinion.

But OL is on the list too. Quality CB depth is needed, especially if Nixon departs.

11 picks (so far) is helpful.

2 points
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Idaho Cheese's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:03 pm

Don't we have that in Walker? a LB that can blitz at least? I agree we need a LB but one who can stop the run! I agree with your assessment overall.

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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:30 am

I find it hard to believe that linebacker is not on the list of draft needs. If the Packers are moving to a 4-2-5 base defense, they will need linebacker help. According to TGR (and I completely agree), Campbell is a likely cap casualty along with Bakh. If Campbell goes the Packers will have Walker and McDuffie as starters with almost no depth. That situation is at least as urgent as the RB and CB groups and will require a Day 2 draft choice to remedy.

7 points
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WD's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:44 am

BINGO on LB

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BA4Pack's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:31 am

As exuberant as I am about how last season ended I am cautiously optimistic about this year. IMO we need to shore up the o-line for JLove. Drafting an offensive lineman in one of the first 2 picks is my priority.

1 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:41 am

I’d wager there will be some good ones available.

1 points
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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:51 am

The good news is that this draft is supposed to be loaded with offensive linemen. For once a Packer need matches up to availability. Depending on how the Packers evaluate Jones, Telfort and Tenuta, I think the Packers will draft at least two if not three OL this year.

1 points
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mjbrogno's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:37 am

This draft is the most improtant one for our future success. Gutey has to get it right, GO PACK GO!!!

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RCPackerFan's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:51 am

I agree with the 4 positions of need.

Without knowing what they are going to do with the current players and who they will bring in, these positions are the positions they need to improve the most.

I will add a couple of positions they also need to add too.

ILB -
They need more ILB help. I have no clue what is going on with Campbell. And McDuffie while he was improved, I am not sure if he can be a full time, every down LB. They need to bring in someone with more speed. Someone that can cover and has the sideline to sideline range.

FB/TE -
I am assuming that Deguara won't be back. I really like what they have in Musgrave and Kraft. But they really could use an upgrade over Deguara. Having that hybrid position gives the offense a ton of flexibility. It also helps to create mismatches. Adding someone that could be an upgrade over Deguara would definitely help the offense.

1 points
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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:04 am

Deguara was getting very few plays per game by the end of the season. And he almost never carries the ball, he is either a blocker or a receiver. I wonder if Kraft couldn't take over those snaps as a blocking/receiving FB rather than use the roster spot on a player that may not see many snaps. I would like to see the Packers find more snaps for both Kraft and Musgrave and sharing Deguara's snaps would be one way to accomplish that.

2 points
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RCPackerFan's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:15 am

Which they could just get rid of the position all together. They could use Kraft in some of those roles. But I feel like LaFleur really wants his own Kyle Juszczyk. He wants that lead blocker/guy that could spread out too. That is what he wanted with Deguara.

But either way I feel like they could use one more at the spot. Sims was ok as a rookie and hopefully he improves. But If they could get an upgrade it would definitely be another piece on offense to play with.

1 points
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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:31 am

"Wish they could just get rid of the position altogether."

Agreed and given the success of the offense last season with very few snaps going to Deguara, I wonder if LaFleur hasn't arrived at the same conclusion. I think the Packer offense would do just fine eliminating the position and using a TE as a blocking/receiving FB on the few occasions the offense needs one.

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LLCHESTY's picture

February 16, 2024 at 01:16 pm

Deguara played 20% of the snaps in the 15 games he played in so I really doubt LaFleur would want to give up that much of the offense. They just need to find a better Deguara or go with a true FB that can split out to H back too.

1 points
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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 03:25 pm

Deguara averaged 13 snaps per game in his games played and a percentage of those were on special teams. Do you really believe the offense will miss that position and do you want to spend a roster spot for that few plays per game?

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LLCHESTY's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:48 pm

He played 20% of the Offensive snaps in the 15 games he played in, also played 219 STs snaps. They are counted separately. Deguara needs to be replaced but LaFleur isn't going to give up ⅕ of his offense.

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Guam's picture

February 17, 2024 at 08:16 am

I have not been able to find a site that separately lists special team snaps. What site did you use?

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Coldworld's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:27 am

He was played as a full back. He was not a good one. I’d be fine with us getting a true FB, especially if he’s a genuine short yardage run option too.

Absent that, ditch the H Back role completely—we have more offensive options than we can get on the field as it is and add a better blocking TE (maybe Davis?) who can leak out as a check down option.

Either would enable us to go more mobile at RB throughout and to increase effectiveness in protection when less trusted RBs are used or in heavier personnel sets. Pearson might be an option, but I wasn’t that impressed with his blocking or short yardage threat last summer.

2 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 04:40 pm

Cade Stover from Ohio State knows the position and delivers the blocks. Dynamic offense and he will get better for the Juszczyk role.

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Coldworld's picture

February 17, 2024 at 07:28 am

If we go the TE route, he does look like a very good candidate with the right attitude for that role. My only hesitation is that I’d prefer a key down power/size proven ball carrier FB in that role so we don’t have to split our focus on RB talent.

0 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 11:39 am

They don't make them anymore. The College game has the motion TE/HB to attack in front of the runners. The 49rs playbook is as close as it gets. I thought Deguara could fit the role when they drafted him, but he's not the madman for the position....

0 points
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Leatherhead's picture

February 16, 2024 at 04:03 pm

In Green Bay, the TE is a blocker or decoy on 90% of the plays. Musgrave and Krafts should be able to handle that, I agree.

We are going to see the ball go to our RB 50% of the time, and to the WRs about 40% of the time. That's how they roll. The TE gets the rest.

Truthfully, if Love is going to throw it downfield, I'd rather it go to a guy who is faster with better hands. We just need a TE who can block and release and catch a couple of passes a game. I don't care if they don't get big numbers as long as they get their guys blocked.

-1 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

February 16, 2024 at 06:11 pm

They didn't draft Luke Musgrave to be a blocker. They drafted him to be Travis Kelce, to stretch the field. Kelce had 90+ catches this year and i would assume that they'll be looking for something like 70+ minimum for Kraft and he combined. We want points and ball control, and Musgrave/Kraft is the personification of that. I expect to see a ton of 12 personnel.

3 points
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Coldworld's picture

February 17, 2024 at 07:34 am

Sims is a decent back up for those roles. What I think we need is a really good lead blocker/protector who can leak out and, ideally, provide a hard yards power run option if needed. He doesn’t need to do much in the passing game except be known to be capable is an outlet. We need a guy who can protect and do the grunt work first, but be enough of an option that teams can’t ignore his potential to contribute. If Deguara did those things well, he’d be fine, but he doesn’t.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 11:43 am

Rescuing Ben Sims from the Land of Shipwrecked sailors was the best thing for his career and the Packers. They bagged the Trifecta. If Davis can recover, he fills the #4 spot. He was controlling the edge better than Big Dog who was past his prime.

0 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:12 am

LBs for the 4-3 who can read, react, rush and track is great need. Walker should fill the role very well. McDuffie knows what Hafley demands and has improved every year. But need another LB to challenge for starting time and perhaps another drafted late for quality depth is important.

I have been disappointed in Deguara. I was impressed with the jump Davis seemed to have made in the offseason and in TC last year before the terrible injury. If he can return from it it, he can be quality depth. Maybe Sims stays too.

1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:07 am

I have posted before that I think we are set up very well to be able to choose from really good/upgrade players in the first 2 days of the draft. Whether a top 4 CB or Interior O-lineman falls to us @ #25, or if we trade back from #25 to top ten of 2nd round for more premium picks, GB is in a win-win situation.

#25 has to be a top 4 CB or a top OL that can play multiple positions preferably inside. That starts the overhaul at one of those position groups.

#41 has to be Safety because at least one of Nubin or Kinchens should still be there. We need one of them for sure. #58 will be too late to get either. If both are gone, whatever we did not get in round 1 is the preferred choice. There will still be great options to choose from later. The second tier of Safeties will be in 3rd or 4th rounds: Hicks, Bullock, Bullard, Bishop, Vaki, Oladapo, Mustapha, Brade to name some.

#58 depends on the first 2 picks or if we traded back. There should be some great CBs left like T J Tampa, Khyree Jackson, Cam Hart. Or maybe if the Texas A&M LB, Edgerin Cooper is there, grab him and we have the LB we have been missing for 20 years.

Round 3 depends strictly on what we missed in 1 and 2. RB is a big need and there should be a strong group available. Estime sure looks good as a combo RB but we will have 4 or 5 good choices. Rounds 3 thru 7 have all of our picks late in the rounds so we are going to have to overdraft some players to get what we want, unless # 25 is traded and we get some extra early in the round picks.

Solid, reasonable vets to shore up the defense are Jeremy Chinn-Saftey, A J Epenesa-Edge, and Bobby Wagner-ILB. These 3 coupled with what we have and will draft will give a GB a Top 10 defense.

No FAs on offense unless a cheap O-lineman.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:18 am

Mostly matches my opinions. I expect there will be many surprises in this draft as far as who goes when. That may have a big impact on who we pick--someone unexpected will probably "drop" to us.

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dobber's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:08 am

In no particular order: S, MLB/SLB, OL

I think safety is need #1, but there might not be a pick-value S candidate on the board without overdrafting one at pick number 25. I think just about any position save QB, RB, TE, and specialists will be in play at pick 25 and make this team better. Yes, I think that includes WR.

How they handle that second 4-2-5 LB (or 4-3 SLB), the 5th DB, and the safety position--in general--I think will be a defining event for the 2024 Packers defense. They need a guy who has outstanding measurables and instincts at that LB spot...he needs to be a swiss-army knife proficient in just about everything he's asked to do. I don't think that's McDuffie--who I see as a competitor and good depth piece, who's a little slow and a little light in the pants. I think they'll go with a hybrid S/LB as the 5th DB in base. That guy's currently not on the roster.

You can have an effective run game without having an outstanding talent at RB--the OL makes the run game. Jones coming back and being spelled by a couple apprentice RB who could be FAs, draft picks, or UDFAs makes RB less of a glaring need. Take care of the OL, and the rest of the offense will take care of itself--hell, that philosophy made Jamaal Williams and De'Andre Swift look good for Detroit last year (their talent at RB is better this year) and regularly makes Goff look better than he is. I think 3 OL in this draft--one needs to be a legit T prospect. I'd like to see more power in the IOL.

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MooPack's picture

February 16, 2024 at 09:34 am

Here's my way too early draft sim. It's from the Consensus board which takes almost all the boards and mocks as an average. The thing about Consensus is one or two boards can throw a players projection off as some have wildly different ratings on players. If you want to go to one of the best sites and scoring award winning boards, mocks, evaluations, go to Huddle Report. Usually one of, if not the, most accurate. However, it doesn't have a sim. I'm also using Consensus over PFF, 1) because it's free, 2) I find it the easiest to use, 3) tend to not agree with their ratings.

So here we go with what I got yesterday. I'm only going 5 rounds. Takes too long to get a good read on later rounds.

NFL Consensus 2/15
25. OT Kingsley Suamataia
41. OG Cooper Beebe
58. CB TJ Tampa
88. RB Audric Estime
91. S Jaden Hicks
126. RB Jaylen Wright
166. LB Trevin Wallace

My reasoning:
While Safety is biggest need, this is not a very good year for them. 2nd round at the earliest and even then don't think they are as good as other positions in this draft.
This is the best Oline draft I've seen in years. I'm not sold on the OL as some. RG is a question. Not sure Walker is long term answer at LT. I still believe Tom's best position is Center. Depth is almost non-existent. Maybe Gute didn't draft an OL last year because he knew this year would be a good one.
CB is somewhat a mystery with the health of Alexander and Stokes. If they both get back to health and play like they should have been used, this could return to a better strength. Still need to add insurance. Still need a much better slot.
RB needs to replace Dillon and insure against Jones missing time.
LB needs to replace Campbell and at least add depth.
I'm up in the air on DL. They've added quite a few pieces the last few drafts and have doubts they would add a high pick this year as it looks to be a down year for Def front seven. Maybe Hafley sees what he needs and better utilizes them.

As far as who I picked. I'm never able to get Cooper DeJean at #25. I still think he has the possibility of falling, but not at this time. I'm an admitted Hawkeye homer on him, but believe his DB versatility would be a great fit.
So, I went with OL King Sua over Jordan Morgan because of better versatility. I've seen both rated as higher over the other.
Cooper Bebe will be a lock down RG for many years.
CB TJ Tampa could win the starting job and has better size to take on some bigger receivers.
S Jaden Hicks is underrated on Consensus. I've seen him as No 1 Safe on a board and higher on others.
RB's Estime and Wright would be replacements for Dillon and eventually Jones. Let me rephrase that. Estime would be a definite upgrade of Dillon. Estime is not a slow plodding big back. I wrote why in his CHTV prospect thread. I also saw Wright as No 1 on a board.
LB Trevin Wallace is another I think is underrated and would be a good pick up if he lasted this long.

That's my take for now. Sure it will change. Combine will change some evals. I do like this time of year more than some. I like the eval of players, combine, draft because - Hope.

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Leatherhead's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:50 am

That would be a pretty solid draft, Moo.

I've been trying to following Gutekunst protocols, looking for a defensive back in the first round, and then skill positions and OL on Day Two.

I frequently select the best remaining CB, often it's Rakestraw or Lassiter, because pass defense starts with people who can cover, and we don't have enough of those.

But it seems like the draft rolls out better if I take a starting OT with our first pick, and then focus on getting some defenders. I almost always get a pick of the litter RB at #58, and a good interior lineman and a Safety at #88 and #91. That's 5 guys who would all dress out. It would strengthen the Oline and the backfield. It would get us 2 guys in the secondary.

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MooPack's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:07 am

I like Rakestraw as well. He's one that is anywhere from 1st to late 2nd and even 3rd round on some boards. I think 2nd. I'd have no problem with that pick.

"But it seems like the draft rolls out better if I take a starting OT with our first pick"

This is exactly what I'm seeing as well. As I said this is best OL draft I've seen in some time, but there is a drop off around 75-80. I think they need to get at least one or two early if you are looking for more than, statistically, backup guys. I can still get some CB's and Safeties in 2nd and 3rd rounds. I also look to Wolf's protocols - Get the big men first since there are fewer really good ones.

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CoachJV's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:06 am

As far as the draft goes, I'd like to see these 4 positions addressed.
#1 - S
#2 - DE
#3 - OL
#4 - RB

I think our CB's will be okay... Not counting Stokes for obvious reasons, Alexander and Valentine are good Press-man guys. Ballentine is a decent zone guy for when we need it, and a good CB3 or CB4 either way. If we can pick up a cheap FA who can press, we'll be okay. If Stokes can return, even better.

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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:36 am

Not sure I understand why DE would be our #2 need. Between Gary, LVN, P. Smith and Brooks, the DE rotation should be fine. All of them played DL in college and are big enough to handle the assignment. And that doesn't consider Enagbare who will return sometime during the season. Would appreciate some elaboration on your thinking.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:46 am

P. Smith- AGE/Cap / More OLB then DE
Robinson might be Reggie White.
He was the show at the senior-bowl

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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:08 am

Robinson has played himself into a 1st round Draft Darling and will be gone in the 1st. He would be a great pickup, but I want 1st and 2nd rounders to be starters not backups. And Edge/DE is about our 6th biggest NEED.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:58 am

So you'd pass on All-pro Blue chip.?
Like I said earlier. He beat the best OL
at the Senior-Bowl.

No- player taken @25 will start.
Unless the position becomes open.

The depth at edge is all about development.
P.Smith is aging fast.

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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 01:27 pm

I have actually liked this guy from mid college season as he seemed like a P Smith clone. Yes I would pass on him @ #25 because we have way bigger needs. We have no idea if he will be an All Pro just like we have no idea that if we draft one of the top 4 CBs, that they will be an All Pro.

The difference really boils down to what we need @ #25 and Edge is about the #6 need.
People always say draft the best player available. That's a great concept if you are a really good team with very few NEEDS,(we are not yet) or if you are a bad team that needs everything.

The Packers should stay focused on drafting to fill the biggest holes we have first. Stay the course.

Plus, I really am not convinced that Robinson will do that against Pros. Robinson might not be as good as FA A J Epanesa-Bills, who we can probably sign for $5 or $6 million per year. Epenesa was also a hot college stud, is almost the same age and has proven he can hold his own against Pros.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 01:47 pm

I can only reply to your Back 7 like this:

25.Darius Robinson. DT Missouri. Kinchens will go before 25
41.Kingsley Saumataia. OT BYU Powers will go before 25.
58.Calen Bullock. FS USC
88.Javon Bullard. S Georgia
91.Cam Hart CB. ND
122. Chau Smith-Wade Cb. Wash. St

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 03:17 pm

He would profile as a DE in the 4-3/4-2. Sweat is the guy they need to secure the middle of the D-line, next to Clark with Van Ness and Wyatt on the outside. He can also supplant Slaton on passing downs. He knocks passes down like you alluded to with Johnny Jolly. The BYU guy has no punch. Just say no to a 185 lb safety, Cole Bishop, or Hicks are better and any safety from Georgia. Cam Hart can help the outside and tackle a runner.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:12 pm

I don't mind Sweat. But I think you can get a Full time NT later.
He picked it up at the senior Bowl. But people will back off
because of the weight issues.
The BYU Ot can play everywhere but center. DEPTH!
I said he was the best Ot to move around and develop.
And @41 it might be too late.
The safeties both are light. But they both are good.
Don't knock Bullard. -
He was voted the best safety at the senior Bowl.
He now has the jump over bullock.
But Bullock is a FS.
I prefer Wilson at ILB but we need safeties
Cam Hart has LONG arms.
And if Wade does well at the combine, he'll
go before Hart.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:09 pm

This team has been getting their asses kicked down the field for over a decade. Stop the run. T'vondre is ranging at 350lbs. He will have to train get down to the 340Lbs spot. I watched this guy for two years and he is way better than Coburn, or Murphy as the Inside guys for Texass. He knocked Fautanu backwards in the playoffs. He is Gilbert mixed with Johnny Jolly, not going to eat his way out of football like Lacy. In the Pro Game lightweights have a hard time surviving, see Stokes. Morgan is the best LT in this draft. Watch his Film and compare to Bhaks. The big lead foots get exposed on the outside ,like Leatherwood and the othr slug who didn't even make the final cut-downs rookie year.

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CoachJV's picture

February 16, 2024 at 12:50 pm

"Not sure I understand why DE would be our #2 need. Between Gary, LVN, P. Smith and Brooks, the DE rotation should be fine. All of them played DL in college and are big enough to handle the assignment."

Because it's been 10 YEARS since P. Smith had his hand in the dirt. 6 years for Gary...

C'mon man

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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 01:29 pm

I think Gary can figure it out, plus what choice do we have? He just signed a new contract.

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Guam's picture

February 16, 2024 at 03:03 pm

So its been awhile - that doesn't mean they can't do it again.

Smith only needs to play part time due to the rotation so even if he struggles a bit I'm sure Gary, LVN and Brooks will be fine with Enagbare available sometime later in the season. I can't see the #2 priority in the Packer draft being a rotational player at best. There are too many other needs.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:44 am

I think you got the 4 positions right-
Players @ S are dropping.
Safety. - Class; is better than the CBs.
And the kid from USC is as good
as N. Collins when drafted..
Robinson put on the show at DE.
Go Big or GO Home here. @25
DE is the Future, If he tests like
Reggie White. it's a No - Brainer.

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Coldworld's picture

February 16, 2024 at 01:47 pm

Collins wasn’t very good when drafted. It was his 4th season before he really took off and it clicked. That’s probably not a sound plan unless he’s behind a stop gap FA.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 03:55 pm

He started day one, and as the season developed you could see his potential. He made plays year two with some spectacular Ints.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 03:54 pm

Nick Collins was 5'-11 and 206Lbs with a 4.42, 40 and 40"-0 vertical. Bullock is 6'-2 and 185lbs, running a 4.55, 40 yd dash and vertical unknown.

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Oppy's picture

February 16, 2024 at 05:40 pm

I'm a bit confused about Nick Collins' 40 time.

Many places claim he ran as high as 4.48 at the draft.

I remember Collins clocking 4.37, 4.38. Packers website lists his combine speed as 4.37. Pro football reference lists it as 4.36.

One thing that is certain, he played faster than 4.42, and he was one of the rare players that actually ran 40 yards in a straight line on the football field from time to time.

Never seen a safety cover as much ground as quickly as Collins did. What a great playmaker.

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Bitternotsour's picture

February 16, 2024 at 06:05 pm

And legitimately we have never replaced him. We swing for it all the time, but there just aren't many Nick Collins born into the world. His injury cost us super bowls, and him the hall of fame.

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Oppy's picture

February 17, 2024 at 08:27 pm

I agree 100%.

IMO, Polamalu / Collins / Reed were in a class of their own.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 16, 2024 at 04:34 pm

#16 Q. Mitchell CB Toledo
#41 T. Sweat DT Texas
# 58 Cole Bishop S Utah
#88 Bucky Irving RB Oregon
# 91 Eichenberg LB Ohio State
#126 Goncalves OT Pitt
#168 Kenny Logan S Kansas
#203 Kimani Vidal RB Troy
#215 Easton Gibbs LB Wyoming
# 229 O.Oghoufo OLB LSU
#231 A. Gould KR OR State
Kendall Fulller FA slot CB, The entire Missouri Defense played fast, but he's not Reggie.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:36 pm

Mitchell is going before #25.
Sweat is part time, and his weight
will be a issue, until he plays full-Time.
Which won't happen with the packers.
Cole Bishop has dropped. #58 is a Reach.
I would love a ILB @58 but good Luck with that.
Any Top 5 rb must be taken at #58.
We need a Slot CB to back up Nixon.
If not play better. Slot CB @ 88

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:32 pm

I illustrated the trade up in this mock. He may be gone by #12. This is not going to be a trade down and acquire bodies for Summer Session. He has to bag a starting , shut-down CB opposite Jaire. Fuller is a good CB and it runs in his Family. I don't give a damn about mock drafts and comments from the APC yapping sessions. He started from day one. Utah has produced one of the top defenses for the past five years in College ball. He and Sione know how to smack a runner and Bishop can read and roam like Harrison Smith. Keep the SEC guys the hell away from the secondary.

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golfpacker1's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:09 pm

Boy that is an underwhelming pair of Safeties. Thats precisely why GB should not shove DT or OT above the ACTUAL 5 biggest needs we have. I am not spending pick #41 on a part time player like Sweat. Plus is he really that good or is he overrated because the DT beside him was a top 20 pick?

Were all the other top 4 LBs gone by #91?

Vidal is pretty small. That late I probably take a shot @ Rasheen Ali, (because he will fall after knee injury) Isaiah Davis will be a more complimentary RB to Irving.

Better yet take a flyer on Isaac Guerendo-Louisville 6'1 225lbs and runs 4.3s

I have no clue who the last 2 are.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:44 pm

Guerendo will be a #6 if any Sober Scout watched him this year. He had a great Bowl game for Louisville. Badger should have made a better effort to retain him. He ran 4.3s when he was lighter. He could be a solid Pro. Vidal fits the outside zone scheme and getting into space for the passing game. The lumoxes cannot keep up with these quick guys. See Archane and Miami's offense. This is not a power running team. I like a tandem of Irving and Dillon Johnson in this draft. Bishop knows how to play football. Logan hits people and dis-lodges the ball. A strong safety guy and sp teams commando. Cannot tolerate any more of the arm tacklers.

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Leatherhead's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:53 am

You think our CBs will be OK?

Alexander....often injured
Stokes.......often injured.
Valentine.....a decent rookie season.

This is what you want to go to war with? In a passing league? I really think we could use another premium cover guy. THEN, if we have any kind of reasonable luck with injuries, we can put 3 legit corners on the field.

1 points
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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:01 am

Outside yes.
Slot NO!
#88 and #91 are perfect to go up
or draft a Slot cb.
I know 2 will fall there.

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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:10 am

We absolutely NEED CB or Interior/Combo O-lineman @ #25. Not backup DEs or backup DTs.

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stockholder's picture

February 16, 2024 at 10:42 pm

Good luck with that.
Powers is Top 22.
Mitchell will go before DeJean
The combine will separate the
the DBS and Lbs.
Gutes back seven.

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golfpacker1's picture

February 17, 2024 at 06:42 pm

Maybe, but there are always a couple teams in the 1st round, that throw a wrench into the draft by making some off the wall picks that allows some real winners to drop. Trade ups or reaches for QB needy teams could also drop some of our top of the board guys to us @ #25.

Wouldn't be crazy if Power-Johnson, DeJean, and a top OT/OG was available and #25 and we had to make a choice. Or someone throws the farm at us to move back. Either way we win because the 2nd round has everything we need to fill our biggest needs with starters at those positions.

God, how young will this team be after this draft, especially if we move on from at least Bahk and Campbell? If all we accomplish is rebuilding the Safety room into a strength and add a few pieces @ O-line, CB, and LB, the Packers could be a scary team to play next year even with a tougher schedule.

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splitpea1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:19 am

Cornerback: I think it's probably best to keep Alexander on the boundary. Stokes, who knows? Valentine was a great final round pick, but it's a little tough to accurately judge him after one season because of the abundance of soft coverage schemes he was forced to play; still, he's a valuable member of the defensive backfield.

I totally agree that the Packers need to prioritize the slot defender, whether it's through free agency or the draft. Nixon played 809 defensive snaps last season (that's Kenny Clark territory!), so if we want to improve our defense in this area, which I think we would, we need to be looking for guys that have the demonstrated skills to do it--I don't think a late round pick is going to cut it here.

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dblbogey's picture

February 16, 2024 at 11:24 am

" Rasheed Walker, Elgton Jenkins, Josh Myers, Sean Rhyan, and Zach Tom already proving themselves to be a strong unit". Um, Rhyan has proven nothing, couldn't beat out Runyon. Myers is average at best and Walker is a 7th round pick who played well but may or may not be the answer. We need to draft at least 2 OL.

2 points
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Leatherhead's picture

February 16, 2024 at 04:23 pm

Well, technically, Rhyan has proven to the coaches that he could be put out on the field without costing the team. That's not nothing.

I think there's a general consensus here that we need to add some quality blockers on this offensive line. We are looking at 5 picks between 25 and 91 so that's an opportunity to add two starter level OL .

It is possible the Packers might shuffle the deck and put their best Olineman, Tom, at LT, the most important spot. If not, we're looking at a starting LT and that's almost certainly going to mean our first round pick. We could resign Runyan on the cheap and let him compete with Rhyan for the RG spot. Walker would be a backup Tackle. Mt Caleb, too, has been developing for two years already and he ought to be good enough to put on the field by this season or maybe we need another project. And then later on Day 2, we could take a Center who could beat out Myers. How do you feel about Zak Zintner?

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Turophile's picture

February 16, 2024 at 05:04 pm

ILB is also a need. So is slot corner (as well as an outside corner).

You could also split the safety needs into two, a box safety and a guy who can play single high.

Much, much later (or more likely in rookie FA) we need a new long snapper. in round 5 or later, we could do with the next Rasheed Walker (ie a late round developmental OT)

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golfpacker1's picture

February 16, 2024 at 08:43 pm

No to OT @ # 25. So Leatherhead, are you just going to discount the fact that Rasheed Walker was dominant at LT the 2nd half of the season? And you think we should just ignore what the experts on this site say our top 4 needs are, and shove the # 6 need to the front, I don't agree and neither do 90% of the posters.

Our 2 starting OTs were a strength last year so I don't think we will just sit one down on the bench and replace him. What the hell? Did you know Sean Rhyan was the 10th best OT in the 2022 draft, Rasheed Walker was "rated" the 19th best and projected to go in the 4th round. I think the player rating services missed the boat on Walker and a lot of teams that picked the other 18 wish they had him. We have our 2 starting Tackles on the team now.

We have 5 big needs and a great chance to fill them with the top 5 picks. All of the picks after the 3rd round are late in the rounds making them almost a next round pick. We need to hit on the first five picks, and get lucky on 3 or 4 more.

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Bitternotsour's picture

February 17, 2024 at 08:23 am

In answer to your question, yes. By all means ignore the so-called experts. They don't know shit. The only experts you should regard are the front office, because they actually are accountable for their observations. All others are either hobbyists, or entertainers.

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Leatherhead's picture

February 17, 2024 at 08:46 am

What is FT?

Our starting tackle position is one thing, but what happens when an injury strikes?

Nothing will derail out season faster than a line that isn't able to protect Love or open holes in the running game. We get to dress out 9OL, that 9th guy almost always ends up starting games for us, and I would like it if Newman wasn't that guy.

We get 5 early picks. OT, DB, RB, OL, S. Add two quality OL and a quality RB to this offense and we'll be a threat to hit 30 every week, and 30 wins most games.

2 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:18 pm

I think ILB is going to be way more important than OT to our new DC. Our #58 can be an OG/OT Like Dominic Puni or just draft Cooper Beebe as a 10 year starter @ OG. Glaze later.

Or #58 could be Payton Wilson and dump Campbell.

1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 17, 2024 at 09:27 am

I find it amazing that 99% of people agree on what GBs biggest needs are this year, and yet you want to pull OT out of thin air and make that the #1 need. It's not because we have the 2 starting OTs on the team now. The OG position is the one we need an early pick on, not OT. Ideally, we get a top player who can play multiple positions like Powers-Johnson, Puni, Zinter, or Glaze. Then add another OT/OG in the middle rounds.

We have a big chance to fill CB, S, OG, RB, and ILB with the first five picks mainly because of how strong the needed position groups are and where we would be picking them. The only other deviation that works or allows OT to be in play in the first 3 rounds is if we trade back from #25. I am always a big advocate of trading back when we are picking late in the first round because usually some team wants to give up a lot to move back into the first round to snag a player they covet.

That would work this year because the second 5 CBs are pretty damn good too. The Safties should start off the board around #41. Multiple really good options will be available @ ILB, RB, and O-line in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Throwing in an extra/wildcard pick in the 2nd or 3rd would be a huge bonus. Maybe that gets us Payton Wilson-LB-N C State in the late 2nd or early third. I think he is the best fit for us @ LB.

One last thing, what does everyone think about filling slot position with Mustapha-Wake Forest? He looks perfect for that position, and he is crazy fast.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 12:58 pm

It comes down to the Best Value pick @ #25. See who remains standing. I agree, we don't need to draft a RT, but LT is a big need. Just review the Playoff Games when Bhak was side-lined.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 17, 2024 at 02:25 pm

MAch 8:
#26 Kinchens S
#32 Morgan LT
#58 M.Jackson DT
#88 Bucky Irving RB
#89 Jaden Hicks S
#91 B. Coleman OG
#126 Eichenberg LB
#167 M.Kamara Edge
#203 Easton Gibbs LB
#215 Kimani Vidal RB
#242 A. Gould WR/KR
#252 Guerendo RB
#253 Jaden McGee LB
Move on Kendall Fuller for the free agent CB. UDFA should fill an O line spot.

0 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 18, 2024 at 09:59 am

Wish we could score some more mid round picks. Between picks 100 and 200 we go some long stretches without a pick and will miss out on some really good players.

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