First-Round Pick: What will the Packers do?

Packers history on trading their first-round pick. 

 

The NFL season has officially come to an end with the Eagles dominating the Chiefs 40-22 bringing the Lombardi Trophy to Philadelphia making it 14 years since the Packers have brought it back to Titletown. We all witnessed how important and impactful the defensive line front four was with how the Eagles brutally attacked Mahomes all night forcing him to have his worst playoff performance of his career. It was reminiscent of watching the Packers vs Eagles wild card playoff game this year and it became apparent that this young Packers team arguably played the best against the eventual Super Bowl champs. Yes, it is always a bummer when the season concludes without the Lombardi returning to its rightful home, but with every ending marks a new beginning.

What will the Packers do with their first-round pick?

It is the talk of the town as Green Bay prepares to host its first ever NFL Draft on April 24-26. The Packers biggest needs include cornerback with the uncertainty of Jaire Alexander and Eric Stokes. Most mock drafts have the Packers drafting Notre Dame cornerback Benjamin Morrison and could possibly target free agents like D.J. Reed or Charvarius Ward. Upgrading at pass rush as mentioned should be a priority as well as wide receiver with Christian Watson unlikely being ready for the start of the season. Yet, this draft does not offer a lot of wide receiver depth in the first round which is an opposite trend of recent history. It is a safe bet that the Packers will continue their streak of not drafting a wide receiver in the first round dating back to Javon Walker in 2002. The Packers could look to add a key piece in free agency but someone like a Tee Higgins caliber player may be a bit costly. They could always explore the trade market with pro bowlers like Cooper Kupp and Deebo Samuel recently being made available, but the player getting the most buzz seemingly hinting towards a possible reunion is Davante Adams. Are any of those players worth giving up a first-round pick? Respectfully, no. However, if the Packers are going to trade their first round pick, it would make more sense from a worth it stand point trading it for a dominant pass rusher. Green Bay may have to give up their second and third round pick in order to obtain someone like Maxx Crosby, but with the recent news that Myles Garrett wants out of Cleveland and the noise surrounding Micah Parsons trade rumors those caliber players would likely require the Packers giving up their first-round pick.

How likely is it that the Packers trade their first-round pick?

Looking through the long history of the Packers trading their first-round pick, the first time was in 1976 when Green Bay traded five draft picks to the Los Angeles Rams to acquire quarterback John Hadl. In 1986, the Packers traded their first-round pick and a 1987 conditional fifth round pick to the San Diego Chargers for safety Mossy Cade. In 1992, the Packers famously traded for quarterback Brett Favre giving up their 17th overall picking to the Atlanta Falcons. In 2008, they traded their first-round pick from the number 30 spot to the New York Jets in exchange for their second and fourth round pick. The last time the Packers traded their first-round pick was in 2017 when they traded the 29th pick to the Cleveland Browns for their second and fourth round pick. In conclusion, dating back to February 8th 1936 when the NFL had their first ever draft, the Packers have traded their first-round pick only five times out of 88 possible chances. Green Bay has an astounding history of trading their first-round pick at a rate that is just above 5%, so the odds seem highly unlikely.

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Mitchell Adams is a passionate lifelong Packer fan bringing a unique West Coast perspective, and also produces multiple podcast platforms, is a published author, and a proud Packers shareholder. Follow him on X at @mitchadams209.

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Comments (21)

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GregC's picture

February 11, 2025 at 03:30 pm

Mossy Cade? Ouch. I forgot that they traded a first round pick for him. That was not a good chapter in Packer history, and not just because of what happened on the field.

One quibble with the article: The Packers didn't play the best against the Eagles in the playoffs. The Rams did. They lost by 6 and made it to the Eagles' 21-yard-line in the final minute.

I agree that it's unlikely the Packers will trade away their first round pick. The Myles Garrett situation is at least making things interesting though.

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packerbackerjim's picture

February 12, 2025 at 05:02 am

If you Think Mossy Cade was a bad deal, check out the John Hadl fiasco.

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WD's picture

February 11, 2025 at 03:56 pm

Giving up a first rounder for Crosby or Garrett would be a steal for the Packers. Then sign a free agent CB and draft a WR in rd 2. Address OL in rounds 3 and 4
With Crosby or Garrett the entire dynamic of the defense changes us overnight to a legitimate contender. The debate is over. Defense wins championships.

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Starrbrite's picture

February 11, 2025 at 04:37 pm

WD—completely agree with you.

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LeotisHarris's picture

February 11, 2025 at 04:07 pm

"The NFL season has officially come to an end with the Eagles dominating the Chiefs 40-22 bringing the Lombardi Trophy to Philadelphia making it 14 years since the Packers have brought it back to Titletown."

"Green Bay has an astounding history of trading their first-round pick at a rate that is just above 5%, so the odds seem highly unlikely."

In conclusion, I'm about to write about sinking my teeth into the back of my left hand and having picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue, so it's unlikely you'll need to when you're finishing reading it, then.

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NJ-RICK's picture

February 11, 2025 at 04:12 pm

Based on the Packers previous first round draft picks I would trade our #1 pick for Crosby or Garret. Because Gute's 1st round draft selections have been a bust. Best to go out a trade or sign a free agent DE or DT with NFL experience. I don't trust Gute's draft selections. Maybe its time for a new GM....!

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GregC's picture

February 11, 2025 at 04:20 pm

Assuming Garrett becomes available, he will most likely cost at least two first round picks, plus he will need a new contract making him probably the highest paid defensive player in the league. This stuff is not easy.

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jannes bjornson's picture

February 11, 2025 at 07:30 pm

Two, One picks is a steal for Garrett.

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bjkdad44's picture

February 11, 2025 at 05:09 pm

In total agreement… 100%

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EnemyTerritory's picture

February 11, 2025 at 06:44 pm

Agreed. We must blow it up and fire the GM. His picks have been so god awful that… the team currently has a top ten Vegas line to make the Super Bowl in 2025. The team has made the playoffs four of six years and have a regular season record of 73-42-1 since he took over as GM in 2018. A grand total of 8 teams of 32 have made the Super Bowl since then. Clearly the man is unable to pick anyone good and he is incapable of constructing a decent roster.

My question is just who would you have making those picks, picking up free agents, and constructing the team roster? You may not pick Brett Veach, Howie Roseman, or John Lynch because they already have jobs…

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ko40489's picture

February 12, 2025 at 02:03 pm

Maybe not a new GM, but let's get real. Gutey has done a good job. Not great, not excellent, just good. He gets way too enamored with his draft picks, instead of being realistic and moving on from his mistakes. I agree--too many first round miscues.

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Starrbrite's picture

February 11, 2025 at 04:55 pm

I often wonder about the “if” scenarios.
What if we had traded a 4th-rnd pick for Marshawn Lynch?; what if we had signed Khalil Mack?; if we had drafted Watt?
Let’s take the vacation we can’t afford; trade for Garrett or Crosby.
You cap worriers are the reason we can’t have anything nice—lol!
Go Packers!!!

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Alberta_Packer's picture

February 11, 2025 at 05:08 pm

I think it's more likely that the Packers will trade down their first round pick - unless a player falls to them that they really like. As for retaining their 1st round pick - for the sake of audience approval - probably not. Gutekunst's selection of Jordan Love in 2020 demonstrated that he's not parcticularly sensitive to internal / external influences.

My rationale for the Packers trading-down is mainly 2-fold:
1. It's what the Packers generally like to do - to gain more picks.
2. There is a small gap in talent between picks 25-100

If a trade down - this does not preclude a 2nd round pick +. The Packers could still trade down into the 1st round +. So the fans could still have their cake and eat it.

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Leatherhead's picture

February 11, 2025 at 05:29 pm

Trading down is so much smarter. Look back over the draft history, and after about the first 15 guys or so, you can usually get a guy just as good 16 picks later, or more. And the more shots you get, the better, particularly if they're in that Top 115 or so.

For example, let's say we wanted Jahdae Barron, and he was on the board at #23, but we still think he'll be around at #26 so we do a little trade down, we still get Barron, and we get a late 3rd round pick as well. If we miss out on Barron, we take our next guy and we still have the extra pick. You get to add one more guy who could be a good player for us.

I'd rather get 2 guys on Day Two than 1 guy in the second half of the first round. That's JMO. Better insurance against injuries, busts,etc.

IF....we traded Alexander for a Day 2 pick, AND we traded down from 23 to about 27 or so, we could have 5 picks out of the first 87.

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Leatherhead's picture

February 11, 2025 at 05:09 pm

I think there'll be ample trade scenarios, for certain.

If we stick with 23, as is likely, we'll have a choice of some very good players, and some of them might actually be at positions that we need help. Eliminate a QB or a RB in the first round. Factor in the preference for defensive players, and I think you're going to see a pool of players that involve the people listed below. Obviously the order changes during the Combine, but some of the guys we'd be most likely looking at with pick #23 are:

DE Mike Green and Nick Scourton
DT Kenny Grant and Walter Nolen
CB Ben Morrison and Jahdae Barron

We might go off script and take an OL or trade the pick, but those guys all look like they're in the target zone for me. I'd take Barron out of that group, but that's just me.

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stockholder's picture

February 11, 2025 at 07:49 pm

23 to replace 23?

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canadapacker's picture

February 11, 2025 at 05:54 pm

The only problem with this story is it doesnt detail what the Packers could have selected had they kept the picks. Now not to get too complicated but first rounders are first rounders but did they miss on somebody who would have changed the team positively. When the Pack selected Jordon Love and AR wanted a receiver - but Jefferson was gone. Now hindsight may be 20-20 - just look - Jalen Hurst was drafted by Phillie in the second round as was Tee Higgins. And some of the earlier receivers have maybe not busts but not pro bowlers. I dont mind trading down as volume might be better than a single first rounder unless one is one of the top 10 but where we are - unless there is a real run on a certain position - just follow the BPA - unless it is a 3rd rounder ( and with Gutes ability in the 3rd round) trade down for projects.

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SDPack's picture

February 11, 2025 at 07:48 pm

The Packers will not trade their first round pick for a veteran player. Rookie contracts on high caliber players are simply too valuable to give up. You only acquire blue chip veterans via free agency. Please ask Gutey about how he feels about McKinney and Jacobs and then ask the Raiders and the Jets how they feel about the Rodger’s and Adams trades! The Packers could possibly slide up or down a few spots based on how their board unfolds, but most likely scenario is they take best available player who is not a QB, RB, S, or TE.

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ko40489's picture

February 12, 2025 at 01:57 pm

Gutey's last 5 first round picks have been Jordan Morgan, Lukas Van Ess, Quay Walker, Davonte Wyatt and Erik Stokes. Given that track record, what has the first round pick yielded recently under Gutey? Basically, mediocre players, at best.
I'll take Higgins, Adams, Kupp, or Samuels over any one of those guys.

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Since'61's picture

February 12, 2025 at 05:38 pm

I think the Packers stick with their #23 pick if their player is still on the board when their selection comes up. Otherwise they should trade down into later in the first round and pick up a 2nd or 3rd rounder. Of course they will need to have a printer to make the trade with but I'm with the crowd that says adding more pics is a good approach especially if the player they want at #23 is no longer available. Go Pack Go! Thanks, Since '61

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stockholder's picture

February 15, 2025 at 07:35 am

The draft is in GB.
No way do they trade out of the first rd.

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