Mocking the Mock Drafts: Guessing Game Awards
Which players are getting the most attention in the mock drafts for the Packers first-round pick?

Ahh, yes, the guessing game. One of sport's most traditional pastimes. With the NFL draft being less than a month away, speculation season has strongly started springing mock drafts from draft experts brewing together thoroughly thought out lists. Who is going where? What is the logic behind this pick? Will this be the year a certain team prioritizes drafting a receiver in the first round?
There is an overwhelming amount of mock drafts out there to research providing unique perspectives and guesses. Out of twenty mock drafts from various sports outlets, here is a break down of what the experts think the Packers will do with their first-round pick.
Packers break the not drafting a wide receiver in the first-round curse?
25% of the mock drafts has Green Bay selecting a wide receiver. The fanbase of cheesehead nation will applaud so loudly at Lambeau Field during draft day if the Packers are able to draft a top three projected receiver. The glorious uproar of cheers will have Titletown going crazy! It is fun to imagine, right? Out of the mock drafts that made wide receiver predictions, there were three different names that were mentioned:
Matthew Golden WR Texas
Luther Burden lll WR Missouri
Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio St
Golden and Burden lll each received two guesses. A reality check may be necessary. Golden is a top three receiver in this draft and some speculate he could be drafted first in his position. With his already finely tuned route running and playmaking abilities, it would be shocking for him to still be available at the 23rd pick. Burden lll would give the Packers a playmaker and a receiver with trustworthy hands, which make him an enticing pick if he is still available.
Packers immediately address and upgrade the defensive line?
50% of mock drafts have the Packers taking an edge rusher or defensive lineman. Makes the most sense, right? Based on the Packers biggest necessity, which is improving the defensive line pressuring the quarterback, drafting a player that could have an immediate impact would be ideal here. Of all the players that are mentioned, there are two that stand out the most:
Mykel Williams Edge Georgia
Shemar Stewart Edge Texas A&M
Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
The Packers have a recent history of drafting Georgia defensive players continuing the theme of carrying the G from college to the NFL. Williams receiving three guesses for Green Bay is a reflection of his stock falling in the draft as he was a top ten projected pick heading into last season, but he is coming off a year where he had ankle issues recording 5 sacks. He could be a sneaky steal for Brian Gutekust.
Drum roll please. The award for the player receiving the most mock draft guesses for the Packers first-round pick goes to Derrick Harmon. The Oregon DT is versatile and can be an immediate impact with his athleticism and production fitting the criteria to help improve the Packers defensive line issues. Does Harmon receiving 4 guesses solidify him as the favorite?
Packers add more depth to the cornerback room?
25% of mock drafts have the Packers drafting a cornerback. The Jaire Alexander situation remains the biggest mystery for the Packers. One could speculate it is no doubt he is gone, which is believable. One could also speculate he is staying, but is that more false hope than reality at this point? There are many different cornerbacks mentioned as potential first-round draft candidates:
Shavon Revel Jr CB East Carolina
Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
Benjamin Morrison CB Notre Dame
Will Johnson CB Michigan
Revel is the only cornerback receiving two guesses while everyone else received one. His size along with the toughness ability to defend the outside makes him a logical choice. However, with the Packers addressing the cornerback position in free agency with signing Nate Hobbs, it is difficult to envision Gutekust drafting another one at pick 23.
60% of mock drafts named a different player for the Packers first-round selection. It will not be shocking if the Packers zig while everyone is expecting them to zag. That is what makes mock draft guessing games fun, who really knows?
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Mitchell Adams is a passionate lifelong Packer fan bringing a unique West Coast perspective, and also produces multiple podcast platforms, is a published author, and a proud Packers shareholder. Follow him on X at @mitchadams209.
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Comments (22)
Since'61
March 25, 2025 at 03:00 pm
Mock drafts are like crap shoots to predict the ultimate crap shoot which is the NFL Draft. Thanks, Since '61
Turophile
March 27, 2025 at 06:41 am
You may not like them much - but I love them and have done many myself.
There is such excellent value in the 32-70 draft range, I look for any way to trade back in round one, while still getting a great crop of players. I ran the Draft Buzz mock a few minutes ago and I got a deal done with Jacksonville (Packers 23, for Jax's 36 and 70). That gave me the critical extra pick in round two and one early in the third.
I ignored stupid choices still on the board at pick 36, like WR Tetairoa McMillan or DL Nolen (I can't believe they would not be not gone by now). My picks in the first three rounds were:
36) WR Jayden Higgins (9.7 RAS) 6'4", 214 lbs, runs under 4.5. Has a decent chance to become a no.1 receiver (and not many can).
54) Edge Jared Ivy (no RAS, but with his size/speed/strength he would be a high RAS guy).
70) DT Norman-Lott (no RAS. Quick twitch, great power, high energy, has the moves to trouble defenders, and smart).
87) CB Darien Porter (unofficial 9.99 RAS) Very exciting prospect.
This has addressed the most serious needs for the Packers. I really like every single one of those players, though I felt very lucky to have taken CB Porter at 87.
O line, linebacker, TE, with possible double dips at some positions, come later. I was tempted by PK Borregales in the 5th , but that's another story.
TKWorldWide
March 27, 2025 at 06:56 am
Ignoring stupid choices is a strategy we can all support!
Alberta_Packer
March 25, 2025 at 04:05 pm
* Please note that Jahdae Barron is a Texas CB – not a DL
Gutekunst will continue GB's long practice of not drafting a WR in the first round. Unless Tet McMillan falls to them at 23.
I would also add Walter Nolan to the DL list – as he seems to be an interesting blend of all the other candidates.
Morrison and Revel are out of the 1st round because of injury issues. While Johnson has also been physically compromised – the Packers may take a chance on him – if he falls to 23. Meanwhile – I know Hairston is quite popular - but he is too light at 183 lbs.
While perusing the many mock drafts is a bit of fun. What is more relevant to me is identifying who are the “Packer types”? Here I rely on Andy Herman and Ross Uglem for my information – which includes purchasing both the Cheesehead and Packer Report Draft Guides.
WD
March 26, 2025 at 01:35 pm
Revel is expected to be ready by the start of the season per his physician. He may fall to 23 because of that . Hairston may be light but he is lighting fast (4.28) In his last 20 games he had 6 interceptions with three of them returned for TDs! Yo, I would like it if he was the pick. "Packer Type" is really ambiguous. We want play makers! We need a big time CB since Jaire will likely be gone. But I am for taking best defensive player available regardless of position.
That said I would take WR Golden if he was there but see him long gone by 23. He is a special type of player in my view. I am confident we are going to get a good player and likely a good draft considering we draft in the bottom third, Time will tell. the Needs are Edge (or DL), CB, and WR in any order.
Alberta_Packer
March 26, 2025 at 05:05 pm
There is some variance but little ambiguity as to what is a “Packer type.” Upon further reading and research – you will find that each position has its own measurables, metrics and character criteria and thresholds.
LeotisHarris
March 25, 2025 at 04:37 pm
Basic noun/verb agreement. Oof.
It's a tough league when ankle issues start recording sacks.
Grammarly is free.
LLCHESTY
March 25, 2025 at 04:59 pm
A comma and a just could have done some lifting there. But hey we can't all be Thomas Pynchon and Stock has the stream.of consciousness writing covered. He should gather all his comments and publish them. Call it Naked Brunch.
nagawicka
March 26, 2025 at 12:13 am
I firmly believe there's a Pynchon-in-waiting lurking in the CheeseheadTV comment section
LambeauPlain
March 25, 2025 at 05:12 pm
A sneaky draft steal for Gutekuenst would indeed be a selection of a DE with ankle issues who can still sack the QB!
LambeauPlain
March 25, 2025 at 05:16 pm
I ask because I do not know the answers:
1. what mock drafters are routinely the most accurate top to bottom?
2. which mock drafter has most been most accurate in the first round?
LeotisHarris
March 25, 2025 at 06:17 pm
Check out The Huddle Report dot com. They list most accurate for the last five years.
Per NBC Sports, in 2021 Josh Norris set a record with 59 points in The Huddle Report's scoring system by correctly predicting 16 player-team matches in the first round and identifying 27 of the 32 first-round players.
Bitternotsour
March 25, 2025 at 06:45 pm
you could just tune in and watch the actual thing in real time. hell, those living in Wisconsin could go to the event. no prognostication required.
unpopular opinion: actual draft > mock drafts. actual roster > what coulda been.
LambeauPlain
March 25, 2025 at 07:21 pm
Thanks Leotis...
stockholder
March 26, 2025 at 06:52 am
Make sure you check out the player profiles.
Especially the DTs.
They do adjust their board right before the draft.
murf7777
March 26, 2025 at 07:32 am
NFL mock draft data base has a consensus of a lot of mock drafts and would seem to be the most accurate because of that. I’ve never checked accuracy though.
LLCHESTY
March 26, 2025 at 09:08 pm
Someone looked at the last five years on players picked 20 spots earlier and later than the consensus and not surprisingly reaching for players is not a good idea. Grabbing them later than consensus is a a very good one.
Leatherhead
March 25, 2025 at 06:20 pm
Thehuddlereport.com keeps a track of how people have done over the last 5 years. One point for every first round selection, two points if you pair him with the correct team. Last year, Peter Schraeger from the NFL network was third best with 53 points.
Jason Boris, from the Times News, had the best record last year, and the best 5 year average. Most of the prognosticators have pretty similar scores.
LambeauPlain
March 25, 2025 at 07:21 pm
Thanks, LH...
packer132
March 26, 2025 at 07:18 am
Thanks for the info. I looked it up today and there are 15 "expert" pickers and have the Packers with the 1st pick: Barron CB (3): Johnson CB (3); Golden WR (2); SImmons OT (2).
Others with 1 vote: Pearce, Nolan, Hairston, Green, Egbuka.
Coldworld
March 26, 2025 at 11:11 am
Some fellow called Hindsight trounces everyone every year, unfailingly.
LambeauPlain
March 26, 2025 at 01:23 pm
Bet his vision is 20/20 too. Thanks, CW...I'll look him up.