Previewing the Packers 2018 Season
This piece will set the tone for what the Packers need to do in order for 2018 to be a successful season.
Every season is unpredictable. It is like an unscripted weekly soap opera with overdramatized triumphs and tragedies that demands our attention. This is why the NFL has grown into the media giant that it is, and why it is one of the most popular weekly episodic television programs in the history of our country.
Heading into a new season fills every one of the NFL's thirty-two teams and their fan bases with hope. After all, the NFL is a league that in the business of selling hope. Hope that your team can go from worst to first. Hope that your first round draft pick will be a franchise player. Hope that the free agents that your franchise signed can help win a Super Bowl. If you don't believe me, then look at the Jacksonville Jaguars from just one season ago. They had been one of the leagues laughing stocks for years, and then they suddenly transformed themselves from a 3-13 team to a team that was within a play or two from a Super Bowl Birth.
Every team who fell short of the playoffs hopes that their 2018 arc will be similar to the Jacksonville Jaguars just one season ago.
The Packers were a team last year that was a casualty of the unpredictability of the NFL. They started the season 4-1 and had managed to become one of the favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Then suddenly, without any warning, their Super Bowl aspirations came to a sudden end when they lost franchise quarterback Aaron Rodgers for nine out of the teams final ten games.
Rodgers injury exposed the lack of talent on many areas of the roster and lead to the firings of many members of the coaching staff along with their longtime tenured General Manager Ted Thompson. These moves sent shock waves throughout the organization as well as through the NFL because the Packers have been a model of consistency over the last decade.
Sometimes change can be a good thing, and the Packers go into the 2018 season hoping that the changes that they made in the offseason will put them back in the thick of the NFC playoff picture. Unlike last season, nothing seems to be a certainty. It is fair to say that last season's 7-9 debacle knocked off any sense of playoff entitlement. The failures of a season ago forced the Packers to explore every avenue to improve their roster with depth, talent, and impact players. Despite the significant improvement in depth and talent, the Packers, like every team in the NFL, will be forced to prove that they can execute their game plan on a weekly basis and keep their impact players healthy.
This leads me to the question marks that I believe the Packers will have to answer in order to be a playoff team in 2018.
1. Can the Packers offensive line remain intact and can Brian Bulaga stabilize the right side of the line???
The Packers offensive line will be the key to the success or failure of this season. Obviously, the line cannot serve as the Swiss Guard when Aaron Rodgers rolls out of the pocket but with the likes of Khalil Mack, Aaron Donald, Anthony Barr, and Ezekial Ansah on this year's schedule, the consistency of providing Aaron Rodgers with a clean pocket and minimal punishment is paramount.
2. Can the Packers apply a consistent pass rush???
Yes, this was the age-old question that seemed to plague the Capers era that cannot plague the Pettine era. If the Packers defense is going to make "the jump", their ability to consistently pressure, hit, and sack opposing quarterbacks must improve dramatically. The way the front seven stacks up now leads me to believe that the likes of Kenny Clark, Mike Daniels, Muhammed Wilkerson, Dean Lowry, and Montravious Adams will be able to provide consistent penetration and disrupt opposing offensive lines, which leaves the question of whether the likes of Clay Matthews, Nick Perry, and Reggie Gilbert can capitalize on these opportunities and bring opposing quarterbacks down.
This proposition should leave everyone within the organization on pins and needles because Clay Matthews and Nick Perry have not been able to consistently stay on the field throughout their careers which leaves a considerable amount of pressure on the shoulders of Reggie Gilbert. In a league that is driven by a "next man up" mentality, Reggie Gilbert's time has come, and his stellar preseason play must translate into regular season impact. Finally, Clay Matthews and Nick Perry must return to a semblance of their former selves and consistently apply pressures and create disturbances so that this can become a formidable trio of pass rushers that the Packers can rely on.
The Packers defense has undoubtedly improved with the additions of Tramon Williams, Jaire Alexander, and Joshua Jackson but in order for their impact to be accentuated to the fullest, the Packers must consistently be able to apply an effective pass rush.
I know it sounds cliche with all of the new age football analytics, but games are still won in the trenches. The Packers ability of their offensive and defensive lines will dictate their success on both sides of the ball and will thus determine whether or not they will be a playoff team in 2018.
With the talent that the Packers currently possess on their roster coupled with the schedule that they have ahead of them in 2018, I am predicting a 10-6 season.
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David Michalski is a staff writer for Cheesehead TV. He can be found on Twitter @kilbas27dave




Comments (25)
Lare
September 03, 2018 at 11:08 am
Agree with question #1 and the later comments, the game will be won or lost on the LOS. With little apparent depth on the OL, the key will be to have the starters stay healthy.
On #2, I don't place the pass rush as high on the list of importance as many others do. Sure, it's a major factor, but to me coverage on the back end is far more important and I think the Packers have improved drastically there.
That said, still a lot of unknowns this season with all the new coaches, coordinators, players and schemes. It will be interesting to watch the first week or two to see how those changes carry over onto the football field.
kevgk
September 03, 2018 at 12:33 pm
People overlook that pressure and coverage are a two way street. Last year Matthews and Perry were getting pressure, but the quick passing from broken coverage made it irrelevant. Quarterbacks could have a hot read presnap with an athletic matchup. Perry, Matthews, and Peppers couldn't keep Julio Jones from torching LaDarius Gunter in the NFCCG.
On the other hand Gilbert's biggest plays of the preseason came from tight coverage keeping the ball in the quarterback's hands.
I think blitzing will be more effective this year as well. Not only were Capers' blitzes predictable, but they brought pressure to force turnovers. Pettine's blitzes are better disguised, and designed to get sacks. That and he will play more 4-3 than Capers did, and the DE depth looks really good.
I'm not too worried about pass rush.
Kb999
September 03, 2018 at 12:38 pm
A good pass rush makes the secondary better. Takes a lot of pressure off of them.
Coldworld
September 03, 2018 at 02:47 pm
But good coverage also gives time to get to the passer or force errant throws. It really is a two way street.
Coldworld
September 03, 2018 at 02:51 pm
i wonder whether we are still thinking too much in the Capers box.
Capers saw OLBs as the prime source of pressures. Pettine seems to have used DEs and ILBs and even DTs far more in the past, as well as dialing up secondary blitzes of course.
Perhaps we are looking partially in the wrong place.
Turophile
September 03, 2018 at 12:54 pm
Yeah, it's cluster injuries in one position group, or a really key injury (like D.Adams or A.Rodgers or D.Bakhtiari) that do the worst derailing damage to Packers hopes this season.
So far, the Packers have been realtively healthy (barring Jake Ryan).......the next three weeks are key, as in the past those nasty injuries often happen very early in the season.
Doug_In_Sandpoint
September 03, 2018 at 03:38 pm
Dude...shhhhh. Don’t even type an injury list like that.
GBPDAN1
September 03, 2018 at 04:51 pm
David, you are right, the O-line and pass rush from the OLBs are two of the biggest factors to a successful season (outside of Rodgers staying healthy).
Unfortunately, these are the only positions on the team that weren't upgraded during the off season (and safety) through the draft or free agency. I blame this on TT as he left to many holes for BG to fill in one off season.
It all comes down to health and the development of Gilbert at this point . 'IF' the Starting O-line, Perry and Matthews stay relatively healthy all year, we'll be ok. We will be good this year and will make the playoffs....possibly a deep playoff run. If we stay overly healthy this year and other NFC teams are hit with the injury bug, we could be in the SB this February.
Next year BG will upgrade these positions through the draft and FA. Next year we will be a power team and will have a great chance to be in the SB.
Here's to a healthy 2018 !
Spock
September 04, 2018 at 08:44 am
Lare, I agree with your post (although I think you meant to say "dramatically" vs "drastically"; drastically is what we had last year, lol). With all the changes I remain positive that the Packers are going to be better than the pre-Rodgers injury team of last year, especially on defense.
holmesmd
September 03, 2018 at 11:30 am
The back end & pass rush are interdependent. Give any NFL QB 7 seconds to throw the ball and I don’t care who you have in coverage. Petine is known for bringing pressure from the DL more so than OLB. Hopefully that comes to fruition. If not, it may be another long year. Perry & CMIII can still get it done IF they don’t miss a significant number of games. Gilbert as well. Fackrell is a head scratcher as far as I’m concerned but we shall see
Qoojo
September 03, 2018 at 12:16 pm
1. History says, "Probably not"
2. Mostly the same guys + Gilbert + new DC = "Probably not without blitzing"
henry113
September 03, 2018 at 12:49 pm
I believe they still need to add a couple of more pieces especially LB and O line. I don't think these guys can stay healthy.
Kb999
September 03, 2018 at 03:18 pm
I think Gute will make a move.
Bearmeat
September 03, 2018 at 01:12 pm
You nailed the two points, David,
Alas, your outlook is sunnier than mine. One injury to an OT or OLB and we're on life support. Two and we're toast. And let's not forget that our most oft-injured players are Bulaga, Perry and CM3.
I do not think the DL and improved secondary can overcome the lack of talent and depth at OLB and ILB.
Not to mention, if Davante goes down (or ARod), we're in BIG trouble too.
If we get lucky with injuries at those spots, this will be a special year. If not, it'll be a struggle to get through a crowded NFC.
I am all in on this team. I'll watch every game. But I'm thinking there are still too many holes on the roster to call this team a Super Bowl favorite in 2018. 2019 will be a different story. :)
That said, the NFL is a very high variance league. Stranger things have happened.
Coldworld
September 03, 2018 at 03:11 pm
If Arod goes down, no argument but also nothing we can do about it.
As far as the O line goes, I am fairly comfortable in the interior based on looking at pre season play (if we lose more than a couple of interior players, we and most teams would be in deep trouble).
As far as tackle goes, I really don’t know about Light, but actually, I thought Spriggs really came on. I think he is currently a better than average back up. Most teams don’t start out with two genuinely good tackles.
I believe we are better off than we think because we can’t get over the trauma of the initial preseason (and nearly all PS or street lines later).
Pankey on the PS also seemed to show signs of being an acceptable backup at right tackle.
Losing a star receiver will hurt anyone, but in that instance we have to make use of the rookies in roles (not full route tree) and of our 4 TEs. Honestly, we are better placed to overcome that than almost any team without even considering Monty.
Where I do agree is that we must have pass rush. Seems like that may be coming from multiple positions, not merely OLB. That is more Pettine’s style. I will hold judgment on our resources till I see more of how Pettine uses players.
Ultimately, luck with respect to injuries may be the most important determinant. It can make a competitive team dominating by late season (Vikings and Eagles last year) and reduce a good opening roster to also rans (critical loss—us last year, or simple attrition).
Bearmeat
September 03, 2018 at 09:00 pm
Excellent points. I think you just altered my opinion a bit. :)
billybobton
September 03, 2018 at 02:05 pm
There is nothing that identifies or validates good v bad writing as much as the writing itself.
Rodgers injury "EXPOSED" the talent issues? NO! Emphatically NO!
The injury rubbed the lack of talent into the faces of people who refused to sit down and accurately assess what was on the field, Unfortunately that includes most of those writing about the packers who appear to only desire packer press access which is always denied to them ..... denied due to the lack of professionalism and utter lack of 'journalism' standards. Butt kissing should not pay off and at least for press credentials - it does not.
DraftHobbyist
September 03, 2018 at 02:23 pm
If you're going to make this argument, you should at least mention the Salary Cap. Rodgers had a Cap Hit of $20.3M (12.2%) in 2017 from what OTC says. How many teams could survive that kind of cap hit and sustain their success? And not only that, we lost our QB, which is the most difficult position to replace. If a team is going to have a player like Rodgers, they are also going to have a lack of talent elsewhere compared to other teams who don't have an Aaron Rodgers.
Side note: Unfortunately, the cap hit of Rodgers in terms of percentage is going up the next two years. Rodgers can talk about his desire to win all he wants, but his actions speak louder than words, and certainly didn't give the Packers any sort of discount. He is about the money, and that's why Tom Brady will end with more Super Bowl victories than he does. I'm not criticizing him, this is his choice, just pointing out the facts.
Coldworld
September 03, 2018 at 03:20 pm
True. One of the reasons why I think the spread of guarantees and mega deals to non-QBs is going to have significant implications.
That said, look at it another way. If one accepts that his pay reflects his value, the corollary is that his loss will inevitably be dire.
The luck of the Vikings and Eagles last year in having a backup put in a career season was incredible based upon history. Both did not have a Rogers level QB cost and so could invest somewhat more in backups, but even so that was an anomaly. The best most teams can hope for is adequacy—for the same reason seems many teams can’t find one genuine starting QB.
PatrickGB
September 03, 2018 at 03:01 pm
There are two new coordinators and GM. Aaron is back, Graham is here and everybody seems healthy. Lots of WR talent and a good group of CBS. Today it looks good. Real good. But because everything’s new and fresh, I cannot predict. Hope is a good word.
Since'61
September 04, 2018 at 09:32 am
There are numerous factors which need to break correctly for the Packers to make a deep playoff run.
First Aaron Rodgers must remain healthy. Next the OL must remain at least relatively healthy not only to protect Rodgers but also to maintain at least a decent ground game which will further support protecting Rodgers.
On defense a pass rush must be sustained consistently and tackling must improve at every level of the defense. Our essentially untested CBs must prove that they can cover our opponents #1 and #2 WRs with an actual game plan and a week of preparation as opposed to preseason vanilla plays and 2nd+ string receivers.
The defense must prove that they get off the field on 3rd down and make stops in the redzone and protect leads.
AR gets us to the playoffs, how much further we go depends on the improvement of the defense and if we can hopefully gain home field advantage. May be too much to expect for this season but anything can happen and we are long overdue to get a few breaks in a season. Go Pack Go! Thanks, Since '61
Samson
September 03, 2018 at 10:13 pm
Improvement in season 2018 is all predicated on the health of AR & the improvement in the "D".
The real problem again is the lack of depth and injuries. -- The LB corp and the OL corp are a problem. --- IMO --- season 2018 is still a transition to season 2019.
Not enough in the lower half of the 53. -- Go Pack Go! Thanks, Since '60
Coldworld
September 04, 2018 at 06:59 am
I don’t disagree that we are on a path that stretches into future seasons. Gutekunst has changed the roster significantly but can’t do everything at once.
Where I differ is that, due to changes in the roster and at coordinator, for once I really don’t know what we have. On paper I think we are better, certainly faster, but on game day? That I don’t know.
One thing I do predict is that it will take several games for the team to reach its potential in the new systems with the new personnel and roles. It will be interesting.
Spock
September 04, 2018 at 08:58 am
Coldworld, I agree. I wish we didn't have such important NFC games for the first two contests as I expect the defense to be "a work in progress". The optimist in me sees that if we DO get the W for those two games this season should be damn fun to watch! The pessimist side I'll just have to brush aside. The Packers are WAY, WAY, overdue for some health. I read an article that said McCarthy was scheduling his practices later in the day because their GMS (or whatever it's called) data showed that most injuries happen in earlier practices. Hopefully, this will help this season. I'll still be stoked that a relatively healthy Packers team can beat anyone out there.
Go, Pack, Go!!!!
Oppy
September 04, 2018 at 02:19 pm
This is exactly how I feel.