The Art of Tanking
It’s been a season filled with disappointing performances, controversial penalties, games that Green Bay let slip away, and what could end up being the first real signs of an Aaron Rodgers decline.
By AndyHerman

I think it’s safe to say this Packer season hasn’t gone quite as a lot of us had expected. If you would have told me early in the season that fans would be mildly celebrating a come-from-behind moral victory against the lowly 4-10 New York Jets, just to avoid going 0-8 on the road, I’m not sure I would have believed you. Yet, here we are. It’s been a season filled with disappointing performances, controversial penalties, games that Green Bay let slip away, and what could end up being the first real signs of an Aaron Rodgers decline.
All of this has led to quite a bit of discussion over the past month about whether or not Green Bay should tank, or lose games on purpose, to procure a better schedule and a better draft position in 2019. This article isn’t here to try to persuade you as to whether or not Green Bay should or shouldn’t tank. I think everyone has pretty much found which camp they are in and is pretty set in their belief that Green Bay either should, or shouldn’t be trying to win at this point.
The reason I’m writing this article is because it seems to me that a great many people that I’ve come across don’t actually understand what it means to “tank.” I’ve heard and read multiple people who have said that they could never ever get behind the notion that Green Bay would tell their players to lose just so that Green Bay should get a better draft pick. And while that is absolutely true, it’s also not how a team would actually go about tanking.
Let’s say, for the sake of this article, that we all agree that Green Bay should (or should’ve already started to) tank. Again, that doesn’t have to be your belief, but just roll with me here for a moment. When Green Bay makes that decision to tank, it should never, ever, come from the players or from the coaches. It shouldn’t be spoken about, and no directive should be given to lose games on purpose. Joe Philbin shouldn’t be tasked with finding ways to secretly lose the game by his choices in game. Rather, everything that the players and coaches do should be with the full intention of winning the football game; even if it’s 100% decided that it’s best to lose.
The art of tanking comes from the hands of the general manager. The goal is to make sure that your marquee players are safe for next season, that your young players that need to be evaluated get playing time, that players who are really beat up and need rest get that rest, and that your team isn’t 100% in the best situation to actually win the football game. The goal is to handcuff the team before the game even starts. But even when handcuffed, it should be up to the players and coaches to win that football game. There should never, under any circumstance, be an order given that your team is supposed to lose—just make it so that the probability of a win is much, much lower.
So how does that look in practice? Here is how I would have handled the last two weeks of the season IF I wanted to tank.
Use Injured Reserve:
The first step would have been putting a huge group of players on IR. This list would have included Aaron Rodgers, Kenny Clark, David Bakhtiari, Lane Taylor, Bryan Bulaga, Randall Cobb, and Jimmy Graham. Davante Adams and Jaire Alexander would be put on in week 17 after their recent injuries as well. Many of these players had existing and/or fairly serious injury issues of their own. I’m not asking that you put any player on IR that’s not actually hurt, but you can make a strong argument that these players need the additional rest to avoid a more serious injury that could linger into next season.
Release the Dead Weight:
There are a few players who will not be back in 2019 and can be released now so that you can get a better look at younger players. These players include Marcedes Lewis, Lance Kendricks, and Eddie Pleasant. It’s blatantly obvious that these three players will not be a part of the 2019 roster. It would be much better to remove them from the roster now and help you with the next step in the process:
Poach Practice Squad Players
Green Bay (and many other teams) have already been doing this over the course of the past few weeks. NFL practice squads are filled with young first and second year players who your team probably coveted as some point through the draft process. Green Bay did a great job of targeting Nico Siragusa and Allen Lazard last week and adding them to the roster. With the aforementioned nine players moved to IR and three players released, you have plenty of roster space to poach players and start building your 90-man offseason roster. Green Bay could start by calling up DJ Killings, Teo Redding, Deon Simon, Jason Thompson, and Gerhard de Beer from their own practice squad, and then adding players like Andrew Vollert, a rookie tight end from the Bengals, Matthew Thomas, a speedy rookie linebacker from the Steelers, Antonio Garcia, a second year player, and former 3rd round pick, from the Indianapolis Colts, and Joe Ostman, an undersized but crafty edge rusher from the Eagles. Maybe none of these players amount to anything, but your goal should be to try and grab as many young players with upside as you can and hope to hit on one that can help your team going into 2019.
Play & Develop Your Young Players
This is a chance to get playing time for some rookies and younger players who haven’t received a ton of playing time throughout the year. This includes Montravius Adams, DeShone Kizer, Fadol Brown, Tony Brown, Oren Burks, Lavon Coleman, James Crawford, Kendall Donnerson, Josh Jackson, Natrell Jamerson, Josh Jones, Tyler Lancaster, Jake Kumerow, Allen Lazard, Alex Light, James Looney, J’Mon Moore, Adam Pankey, Nico Siragusa, Robert Tonyan, Equanimeous St. Brown, MVS, Danny Vitale, and of course the poached players we just discussed above. This is a huge opportunity for these players to get increased snaps and show what they are capable of.
When you use this type of strategy you don’t need to give the executive order to your team to lose on purpose; it just sort of happens on its own. And you know what, if the team of misfit practice squad players goes out and wins against the Jets or Lions... awesome. It is what it is. You were still able to gain valuable insight and information on a huge group of young, unproven players. The truth is the team listed above probably goes 0-2 fairly easily, even against two lowly teams like the Jets and Lions.
It should also be noted that sometimes, when you have the least to work with, is when your coaching staff can get the most creative with their play calling and strategizing. Maybe the coaching staff comes up with a new wrinkle or the next winning formula because they were forced to try and win with less; it wouldn’t be the first time it’s happened.
So whether or not you are on the team that wants to tank, or on the team that wants to keep winning, my goal today wasn’t to persuade you one way or the other; just to show you how one would go about tanking without actually having to give the order to players to lose on purpose. Either way, Go Packers… unless you’re on team tank, in which case… Go Lions.
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Andy is a graduate of UW-Oshkosh and owns & operates the Pack-A-Day Podcast. Andy has taken multiple courses in NFL scouting and is an Editor for Packer Report. Andy grew up in Green Bay and is a lifelong season ticket holder - follow him on Twitter @AndyHermanNFL!
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Comments (39)
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 01:40 pm
Excellent article Andrew Herman. I think the majority of people here understand the meaning of "tanking". A few here apparently actually take it literally like this is the 1919 Chicago White Sox but overall the majority I am sure understand it exactly as you put it out there. I wish they would have followed that pattern. I expected them too starting with the Jets game as did many others. It was very disappointing to see they decided to go all in to win two meaningless games and leave guys like Kizer and Boyle on the bench. This is where I question who's running the show here. We need to settle this power issue at the top first. I have no idea who is running this franchise and it's unsettling. That's a problem with me. Glad it will be a new year shortly. Tanks for nothing 2018 Packers team.
Leatherhead
December 27, 2018 at 03:46 pm
If Philbin goes 0-4 it's not as easy to give him the job as it would be at 3-1. This has been his audition.
Lare
December 27, 2018 at 04:06 pm
True, but the three teams he was able to get them to beat are a combined 15-30. Might have been different against teams with a winning record.
Leatherhead
December 27, 2018 at 06:25 pm
Gutekunst becomes GM. Two weeks later, Philbin returns to Green Bay. Rodgers gets an extension.
The Plan, from the beginning, was to replace McCarthy with Philbin when the circumstances were right. As long as we were in the hunt he was safe, but after Arizona the time was right.
The Packers plan to win next year, with Rodgers. The much-criticized "scheme" isn't going to change much. As Murphy said "A new voice was needed"....for Rodgers, he should have added.
Next year, with no rookie pass receivers, a good running attack, and a fortified line, the offense will (hopefully) look better.
Leatherhead
December 27, 2018 at 06:25 pm
Gutekunst becomes GM. Two weeks later, Philbin returns to Green Bay. Rodgers gets an extension.
The Plan, from the beginning, was to replace McCarthy with Philbin when the circumstances were right. As long as we were in the hunt he was safe, but after Arizona the time was right.
The Packers plan to win next year, with Rodgers. The much-criticized "scheme" isn't going to change much. As Murphy said "A new voice was needed"....for Rodgers, he should have added.
Next year, with no rookie pass receivers, a good running attack, and a fortified line, the offense will (hopefully) look better.
Leatherhead
December 27, 2018 at 06:25 pm
Gutekunst becomes GM. Two weeks later, Philbin returns to Green Bay. Rodgers gets an extension.
The Plan, from the beginning, was to replace McCarthy with Philbin when the circumstances were right. As long as we were in the hunt he was safe, but after Arizona the time was right.
The Packers plan to win next year, with Rodgers. The much-criticized "scheme" isn't going to change much. As Murphy said "A new voice was needed"....for Rodgers, he should have added.
Next year, with no rookie pass receivers, a good running attack, and a fortified line, the offense will (hopefully) look better.
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 04:36 pm
I do agree with you Old School. What you are saying is making perfect sense which is why I question who is actually running the show at the top. I fear based on them going all out instead of "tanking" that Aaron Rodgers has more power than people want to imagine. He probably loves Philbin because he's an easy mark, a putz that Rodgers knows won't put up any type of resistance to whatever Rodgers wants to do. Philbin is the perfect "nice guy" for Rodgers to exploit unlike MM who fought him no doubt. Rodgers hates change and Philbin is probably HIS choice. It doesn't matter what anyone else wants in that organization. It all comes down to what Aaron Rodgers wants. If Philbin is selected than Aaron Rodgers is the true head coach just like Winston Moss said and got fired for saying in public.
fthisJack
December 28, 2018 at 08:34 am
does anyone care who is running the team if they are winning?
Skip greenBayless
December 28, 2018 at 09:48 am
They aren't winning fthisJack. Transparency matters.
stockholder
December 27, 2018 at 02:15 pm
Tanking= Ok, just put Moore back returning kickoffs, Crosby misses the winning FG, Williams sits the bench with a concussion. Linsey hikes the ball pass Rodgers. 1 blocked punt, Graham tips a pass to the db. And I think the punt returner is good for a drop. A couple of fall starts. And lets use are time outs early. That should do it from the packers side.
Hematite
December 27, 2018 at 02:42 pm
Kind of how they have played all season and we're still not going to get a top ten pick.
jeepingmakooi
December 27, 2018 at 04:03 pm
Think that's what he was getting at is that's how we played all season
Slim11
December 27, 2018 at 02:43 pm
This what I hoped Green Bay would do last season in the final game against the Lions. It was clear Huntley was a bust at QB so give Joe Callahan some meaningful snaps with the starters instead of the garbage time he did get.
Keizer should get some time with the starters and, maybe, a few snaps for Boyle. As Andrew stated, this game is an opportunity to get an early start on 2019 player development and assessment.
scullyitsme
December 27, 2018 at 02:49 pm
You make that sound like a excellent strategy, and perfectly acceptable. But then we would not have all that momentum going into the off season and starting game one next year( eye roll).
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 05:30 pm
Oh my God Scully, you are right. Thank you again for reminding me. How could I forget about the momentum factor leading into next season. The science behind momentum is indisputable.
Lare
December 27, 2018 at 05:22 pm
This politics shit in almost every post got old a long time ago.
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 05:29 pm
Politics? what are you talking about Lare? So you are upset with the term momentum being political? Get a grip. It's Christmas.
Lare
December 27, 2018 at 05:44 pm
Cute. You add political garbage to your posts, go back and edit it out when someone calls you on it and then you act innocent.
I suspect you're really nothing but a Vikings troll that posts garbage here constantly to irk real Packers fans. So be it, whatever makes you feel better about yourself. If that's possible.
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 06:12 pm
I added nothing Lyin' Lare. Go and read all my posts today. I was enjoying the day today talking about football. All about football. One guy wanted to make the Packers great again. I tried to educate him and others like you who suffer from TDS that our President actually owned a football team called the New Jersey Generals. It was all about football Lyin' Lare. Yes, Trump (sorry for saying the "T" word) but Trump actually was involved in professional football so it was football related not political despite what you think. I also specifically told the guy to try to keep it to football in the future for the very reason I am writing this. Nuts like you go insane at the T word. Suddenly you are saying all my posts are political. They clearly are not. Please Lyin' Lare. I ask nicely to please just not read what I have to say for your own mental health. I promise to do my best not to say the T word ok?
P.S. You got me Lyin' Lare. I am a Viking troll. Yeah, that's the ticket!!
Sincerely,
Jon Lovitz
LeotisHarris
December 27, 2018 at 08:14 pm
On a related note, and it is good to see the Christmas spirit still flowing through CHTV in Riprock v Lare, Football for a Buck: The Crazy Rise and Crazier Demise of the USFL by Jeff Pearlman is a very good read.
Carry on.
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 08:44 pm
I was listening to Jim Rome talk to Pearlman about the book. He told some crazy stories. I didn't get the book but I bet it is a great book. Loved the USFL back then. Loved the Chicago Blitz, the Michigan Panthers, the New Jersey Generals and the Houston Gamblers. Every team had a few stars on their team. I think the worst teams were the AZ Wranglers, the Oakland Invaders and the Washington Federals if my memory serves me. I remember the Philadelphia stars won the championship and the qb was none other than Chuck Fusina who was the Packers scab qb in 1982 when the NFL went on strike. GB lost a lot of good players to the USFL. Gary Lewis was one of my favorites to leave. Memories.
LeotisHarris
December 27, 2018 at 10:25 pm
I recall Badger and Wisconsin's own David Greenwood playing for Michigan. I'd forgotten about Chuck Fusina. Steve Young started for LA, I think, and of course Herschel Walker and Reggie White were stars.
It's an interesting book. There's also a 30 for 30 on the USFL that's worth watching. Speaks to our President's lack of business acumen in the demise of the league, among many other historical perspectives. It also examines what the NFL swiped from the USFL in terms of production, selling the experience etc.
Skip greenBayless
December 28, 2018 at 12:25 am
Thank you for reminding me why I didn't buy the book. It was a good interview with Rome until the end when I realized it was a hit piece on Trump. I should have known but prior to that I loved some of his stories he told. That crazy guy going up to the owner's house and demanding to get paid and the owner gives him a bag of cash. haha
As for those players, yes, loved David Greenwood and Anthony Carter along with Bobby Hebert on MI. So many great ones. Tim Spencer, Kelvin Bryant, Gary Anderson, Mike Butler, Jim Kelly, Craig James, Flutie, Reggie White, Herschel, Steve Young, Mike Rozier (Pit Maulers) and many more. Loved that time in my life watching that new league.
LeotisHarris
December 28, 2018 at 09:33 am
Give the book a chance, Dash. It's worth your time. I don't think it or the 30 for 30 were designed as a "hit piece" on the President. If you take that perspective, you could apply it to the plethora of other unique personalities examined in telling the tale. A lot of people view the aforementioned book is the penultimate tome in USFL lore.
Skip greenBayless
December 28, 2018 at 09:53 am
I'll see.
TheBigCheeze
December 27, 2018 at 03:27 pm
some great ideas, Andy...many of us, including myself, have had the same sentiments....now why can't BG figure it out??.....
ILPackerBacker
December 27, 2018 at 03:29 pm
The problem is that it does not qualify as tanking when you release such stale, over paid and non productive players like Cobb and the others you mention.
The fact that they are here at the end of the year instead of being gone and the young players having hundreds of more snaps is a large part of the problem. In fact it defines the teddie time and kind of scares me about GUTE.
croatpackfan
December 27, 2018 at 04:14 pm
Vince Lombardi: “Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing.”
Vince Lombardi: "Once you learn to quit, it becomes a habit!"
Vince Lombardi: “If you can accept losing, you can’t win."
Vince Lombardi: "Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser!"
And, Andy, to believe players will not recognize it is tanking... That is to ridiculous to think it is possible...
Skip greenBayless
December 27, 2018 at 04:48 pm
Croat, it's not tanking when you are still trying to win. That was Andy's point and quite frankly many others the past week. He wrote exactly how a team can win no matter the outcome. The way the Packers are doing it the past two weeks is hurting the franchise in the long run. Perhaps someone has a quote for that. Wait I do.
Dash Riprock: "Winning the battle but losing the war"
Community Guy
December 27, 2018 at 04:52 pm
my biggest critique of this article is that it is a few weeks late. maybe there is just a lot of confidence at 1265 Lombardi Ave that whomever the Packers have left to draft will provide them with the pool of All-Pros that the Packers need to return to Super Bowl form.
jeremyjjbrown
December 27, 2018 at 05:16 pm
+100
Packers0808
December 27, 2018 at 04:49 pm
I think Rodgers tanked for most of the season until he got what he wanted! Just sayin' and guessing and maybe a bit of hint thrown in!
johngalt
December 27, 2018 at 05:47 pm
Just compete. If draft position is your be all-end all, why not start “tanking” from week 1 on? You’d be guaranteed the #1 pick.
You guys that are petrified of losing a few draft spots are kind of sad. Where do you draw the line?
You must be real fun to watch a game with too.
Bearmeat
December 27, 2018 at 06:29 pm
Great, Andy.
This is what I honestly wish I'd seen from Gute since the MIN loss. We could have had a top 5 pick... Nick Bosa drops maybe?
Instead? Well, let's hope we find a great talent at a bargain.
Leatherhead
December 27, 2018 at 06:34 pm
I have never seen a draft where guys taken from 10-20 don't become better than some of the top ten picks.
Thegreatreynoldo
December 28, 2018 at 01:59 pm
That strikes me as almost certainly true. These are also probably true:
Some UDFAs become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 7th rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 6th rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 5th rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 4th rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 3rd rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
Some 2nd rounders become better than some top 10 picks.
flackcatcher
December 27, 2018 at 07:14 pm
Eh.
fthisJack
December 28, 2018 at 08:51 am
it irks me that Rodgers came to life after MM was fired. now the Packers are looking at pick #15-16 instead of #10. there is no way the Lions will beat the Pack at Lambeau this Sunday. Gute and Murphy better be ready to pull a rabbit out of the hat again in the 2019 draft and FA and choosing a coach.
KnockTheSnotOutOfYou
December 28, 2018 at 09:27 am
Andy,
Great article and completely addressed how I have been thinking for past 2 weeks. Start playing young players to see what we have and/or to prepare them for next year. Start bringing in players from outside the organization to see if they have the talent hoping for. Make everyone play hard and try to win just with many non-starters.