The significance of RAS for the Green Bay Packers' 2024 draft

It should be no secret, as GM Brian Gutekunst prepares for his seventh NFL draft, that he places a premium on athleticism.

The 2024 NFL Combine wrapped up on Sunday in Indianapolis. Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur was not in attendance for the second consecutive year, but general manager Brian Gutekunst and his staff were, watching former college players run, jump, and lift while meeting with some behind closed doors. If history is any indication, NFL Combine results will certainly play a factor in a player moving up or down the team’s draft board, especially in the first two rounds. 

It should be no secret, as Gutekunst prepares for his seventh NFL draft as the top decisionmaker, that he places a premium on athleticism. I am confident that Gutekunst and the Packers have their own unique, proprietary formula to truly determine how athletic a player is, but one formula that the public has access to is Relative Athletic Score (RAS), invented by Kent Lee Platte (@MathBomb). RAS considers several Combine statistics comprising four categories – Composite Size, Composite Speed, Composite Explosion, and Composite Agility – and then spits out a number on a scale of 0 to 10. The higher the score, the better.

13 of the 15 players drafted by Gutekunst in the first two rounds have had an RAS of at least 8.37. Center Josh Myers did not perform at the 2021 NFL Combine, and wide receiver Jayden Reed had a poor Combine performance last year, producing an RAS of 6.74. And I’m sure Gutekunst and his staff are glad they deviated away from their norm by drafting Reed, who set the franchise record for the most receptions by a rookie in a single season. 

The highest RAS in the first round was 9.95 (Rashan Gary in 2019) and the lowest was 8.37 (Darnell Savage in 2019). The highest RAS in the second round was 9.96 (Christian Watson in 2022) and the lowest was Reed’s output. 

2018
CB Jaire Alexander (Rd 1: 9.54)
CB Josh Jackson (Rd 2: 9.27)

2019
DE Rashan Gary (Rd 1: 9.95)
Savage (Rd 1: 8.37)
OL Elgton Jenkins (Rd 2: 9.34)

2020
QB Jordan Love (Rd 1: 8.44)
RB AJ Dillon (Rd 2: 9.16)

2021
CB Eric Stokes (Rd 1: 9.37)
Myers (Rd 2: N/A)

2022
LB Quay Walker (Rd 1: 9.63)
DT Devonte Wyatt (Rd 1: 9.59)
Watson (Rd 2: 9.96)

2023
DE Lukas Van Ness (Rd 1: 9.4)
TE Luke Musgrave (Rd 2: 9.78)
Reed (Rd 2: 6.74)

So with all of that as a backdrop, based on their Combine numbers, which players shot up the Packers’ draft board for the first two rounds, and which players sank like the Titanic? 

Below are four sinkers and four risers based on the Packers’ draft slots and potential needs. The Packers currently have three picks in the first two rounds: No. 25, 41, and 58. 

SINKERS
FS Kamren Kinchens
The Miami (FL) product was a popular mock draft selection among the Green Bay faithful, but everyone should go ahead and remove him from consideration going forward. He registered a 2.11 RAS. Not great! Of course, this does not necessarily disqualify him from ever being a solid NFL player, but it is highly unlikely he will be a member of the Packers' 2024 draft class. 

CB Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
How big of a need the cornerback position is depends on who you talk to, but it is a need nevertheless in my book. Don’t count on Gutekunst drafting Rakestraw Jr. to fill that need, though, at least for now. While he turned in an RAS of 4.79, he was reportedly hampered by a groin injury “suffered early on during” his Combine outing, according to ESPN’s Jordan Reid. We’ll see whether his numbers improve at the Missouri Pro Day. Rakestraw had 35 total tackles and four pass deflections in 2023. 

DT T’Vondre Sweat
There is no denying that Sweat, the 2023 Outland Trophy Award winner for the Texas Longhorns, is a massive human being. He was measured at 6-foot-4, 366 (!!) pounds. However, his Composite Speed Grade and Composite Explosion Grade were “poor” and “very poor,” respectively, resulting in a total RAS of 4.10

RB Bucky Irving
The running back class is not a strong one, according to many accounts, but the Packers will be in the market for a running back after Tom Silverstein reported last week that the team is unlikely to re-sign running back AJ Dillon and also could be without Aaron Jones in 2024, although I’m skeptical of the latter. As such, will Green Bay spend one of its two second-round picks on a running back? I would not advocate for such a selection, but if the organization does go in that direction, Irving’s Combine performance likely takes him off the Packers’ draft board for the first two rounds. He produced a 3.71 RAS

RISERS
CB Quinyon Mitchell
Mitchell, an Associated Press second-team All-American who left Toledo as the program’s all-time leader in pass deflections, showcased his elite speed at the Combine, finishing with an RAS of 9.75. Mitchell also had 20 bench reps, the most among the cornerbacks who tested. Sign me up for all of that. 

RB Trey Benson
With Irving all but guaranteed to be out of the mix, Benson could be on Gutekunst’s radar after his 9.77 RAS. He finished 2023 with 15 total touchdowns and averaged over six yards per touch (176 touches for 1,132 yards). He also had an 80-yard receiving touchdown and an 80-yard rushing touchdown last season, the lone CFB player to register both. 

LB Edgerrin Cooper
The release of De’Vondre Campbell has been widely speculated, which would leave the Packers thin at linebacker. One potential replacement for Campbell? Cooper of Texas A&M, who was the only college football linebacker in the country last season to earn an 85.0-plus Pro Football Focus grade in run defense, pass rushing, and pass coverage. The athleticism shown on tape translated to the Combine. He registered an RAS of 9.34

Several Offensive Tackles
NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah tweeted over the weekend: “if you need an OT, you are in luck.” The question then becomes: do the Packers need an offensive tackle, given the play of left tackle Rasheed Walker in the second half of the season? 

Gutekunst will need to think long and hard about that and decide whether to use a premium pick on an offensive tackle after strong Combine performances from the following players: Jordan Morgan (9.00), Kingsley Suamataia (9.35), Troy Fautanu (9.40), Amarius Mims (9.50), Tyler Guyton (9.62), Taliese Fuaga (9.71), and Patrick Paul (9.80). 

 

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__________________________

Rex is a lifelong Packers fan but was sick of the cold, so he moved to the heart of Cowboys country. Follow him on Twitter (@Sheild92) and Instagram (@rex.sheild). 

__________________________

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6 points
 

Comments (57)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:15 pm

Beaux Limmer screams Packers. Versatile IOL, Uber strong and very agile.

https://twitter.com/MathBomb/status/1764688189124411399?t=8S-cs-E6hJd_4s...

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

March 04, 2024 at 04:23 pm

My favorite is C Zach Frazier if he drops to #41.
30reps former high quality wrestler Great technique

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LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 04:26 pm

Yeah I'd love Frazier at 41 too but if they miss on him I like Limmer a round later. Limmer had a combine high 39 bench reps and squats 700 lbs. He's strong and really agile.

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Coldworld's picture

March 04, 2024 at 05:38 pm

Screamers are to be avoided. Glad you warned us. How deep does your research go?

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LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:59 pm

A lot of players that scream Packers end up as Packers. They have types and usually stick to it.

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 05, 2024 at 03:57 pm

Cooper Dejean?

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 05, 2024 at 03:58 pm

If he’s a good blocker, that helps too.
#BeauxKneaux!

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WD's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:44 pm

Gute has a good strategy to put the emphasis on the RAS . But, you also have to figure in the priorities of each position when drafting. Many mocks have the Packers looking at O-Line. Some seem obsessed with OL because we will not have Bakht at L tackle. Evidently they have not noticed the development of Rasheed Walker. The fact of the the matter is O- line is one of the strengths of the offense. Granted, we could use some depth. Critical needs are ILB and Secondary. Use the first two rounds to address ILB with either Payton Wilson who flew up the charts after a 4.4 combine or Edgerin Cooper. Second round draft a Safety(best available) and RB (Benson). Third round address an interior Lineman Cooper Beebe) and your second RB either Allan or Blake Corum whoever is available. That should make both offense and defense happy. I know it would make me happy. In the 4th round find a CB. I think Stokes will be back in uniform on opening day. Oh yea..... draft the top college kicker in round 5.

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Leatherhead's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:55 pm

We have Walker and Campbell at LB, and we'll be in a 4-2-5 quite a bit of the time. I'm not sure ILB is a critical early need.

I've noticed Rasheed Walker. Who's his backup? Who's backing up Tom? Who's backing up Myers or Jenkins? Right now, the answer to those questions are Caleb Jones and Royce Newman, and that's who'll be starting when people get injured.

Beebe's a good pick. Given the fact that we'll hopefully have our RB, and we already have Jones and Wilson, I don't believe we'll spend two top picks on RBs.

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GregC's picture

March 04, 2024 at 02:23 pm

I don't love the thought of them picking an O-lineman in the first or second round when they may not even have starters at safety or LB, and they'll probably need a #2 RB and maybe a slot corner as well. If the quality available at OL is way better than at those other positions, I'm fine with them taking an OL, but it would be a better outcome to fill out those other positions with high picks. That third LB will be on the field for about 30% of snaps, and that will include a lot of short yardage and red zone plays, so it's pretty important. It would also be good to have another LB besides Quay Walker who is more physically gifted than Isaiah McDuffie.

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Leatherhead's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:36 pm

You'd prefer to start Newman at the first injury? Cuz that's where we are.

This is not just for this year.....we need to get the pieces we need to protect Love for the next several seasons. Getting him hurt will cost this team a lot more than having to put some UDFA at safety.

I think our safety situation is going to look a lot less dire by the draft. And I don't understand the no starters at LB....did Walker and Campbell and McDuffie all die?

Like you, I'm kind of wondering what we're going to do with that 3rd linebacker who'll be on the field 30% of the time. Maybe it'll be one of those guys we had on the practice squad last season, or maybe one of the guys we think is going to be a DE actually plays snaps at OLB, too.

If we keep Love protected and give him time to do his job, with the tools at his disposal, we'll be one of the best offenses in the league. Not just this year, but for years to come.

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Guam's picture

March 05, 2024 at 08:27 am

I am solidly in the "draft OL" camp this year. Both the running and passing games are dependent on the O-line functioning well. The Packers have five starting O-linemen right now and zero proven depth. Even two of the starting linemen (Myers and Rhyan) are a bit suspect. I hope to see the Packers invest three of their first seven draft choices into the O-line.

The good news as this probably the richest O-linemen draft in years. Perfect timing to load up on OL.

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 05, 2024 at 04:02 pm

Do you think they’ll keep Campbell?

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 05, 2024 at 04:01 pm

The idea of going into a particular round targeting a certain position scares the bejeebers outta me!

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Leatherhead's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:48 pm

We let Micah Hyde go because he wasn't a good enough athlete, and we draft Oren Burks and Jimmy Jackson because they are. Hmmmmmm.

Size and speed are good. So are smarts. So is a willingness to take coaching well. So is a commitment to making your body bigger and stronger (Eddie Lacy? Raji?)

I think this RAS stuff is useful, but it's not the Bible.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 04, 2024 at 02:41 pm

They let Hyde go due to Incompetence. The non- move should have been Low-Ball's last.

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GregC's picture

March 04, 2024 at 03:05 pm

That one was on the coaching staff, not the GM. Dom Capers insisted on playing Hyde at slot CB instead of safety. Hyde was not worth big money as a slot CB.

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Coldworld's picture

March 04, 2024 at 04:53 pm

Sorry, that may be true, but Ball was playing GM and a GM sets the roster and, back then, managed the coaches. Another GM saw it and we did not.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 09:24 pm

Ball worked for Ted at that point, he did Ted's bidding. Hyde was our 6th defensive back. Did he really deserve a 2nd contract? We got a lot out of Micah Hyde for being an afterthought draft pick who was objectively too slow to play corner. I'm sure he would have been re-signed if he'd been willing to be a lifelong utility player. He opted to bet on himself and his ability. He won that bet.

I was more upset that they let Casey Hayward walk, he was arguably the better player and was our 5th DB ahead of Hyde

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Coldworld's picture

March 05, 2024 at 08:45 am

Ted was not Ted by that point in terms of capability or involvement. I thought that was no longer a secret. It apparently is to some.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 05, 2024 at 09:09 am

The Hyde decision was 2016/17. I've seen nothing suggesting that Ted had stumbled at that point.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 04, 2024 at 05:15 pm

Hyde had Three Ints playing slot CB/S. He made the plays at Lambeau that pushed them to Dallas for the chance at the NFCCH game in Atlanta. Dom sure as hell wanted him on his squad. The Brain Trust didn't even Offer him a contract to negotiate. The Gutey move with Douglas, going to the Bills, smells the same.

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Oppy's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:15 pm

I don't think the Packers didn't want to retain Hyde.

I think the Packers intended to allow Hyde to test the market and see what the league thought he was worth, and if nobody made a ridiculously out-of-order offer, they intended to match or slightly exceed that offer to retain him. That is a tactic the Packers under TT had employed in the past.

I think the Packers underestimated or completely failed to realize that Hyde might take no immediate offer before hitting FA as a sign of disrespect, which is exactly what I think happened. Ted was a lot of things, but his understanding of human interactions wasn't always his strong suit.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 09:07 pm

Ted had all the makings of being on the spectrum. His inability to connect with people being a big tell.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 05:18 pm

They made a call on Hyde that he didn't warrant what his agent was asking for as a second contract. The mantra was and remains "younger, cheaper, faster". Fault that philosophy if you will, but you'll not find more mistakes than correct calls.

Micah Hyde was a utility player in GB. He had never been a full-time starter. There's a ridiculous reflection that Hyde had shown himself to be a pro bowl safety, and he had not. Hyde was a good player. Maybe, just maybe, give a mulligan on that one. You only get 53 guys on a roster and there was a salary cap, even back then.

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Leatherhead's picture

March 04, 2024 at 08:34 pm

Water under the bridge, live and learn. I liked Hyde and was in a minority that was willing to pay him.

I think that stability in the secondary is under appreciated, and really hard to achieve through injuries . You shouldn’t run off guys until you have something better.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 09:05 pm

2nd contracts are the death knell of a salary cap. Make hay with youth. There is no such thing as hindsight, there is only what is.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 05, 2024 at 11:14 am

Yes, guys like Dix.

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WD's picture

March 05, 2024 at 10:57 am

With rare exception the best players at all positions are all really great athletes. The RAS is the most important set of data that needs to be known. It has more to do with success in the league than any other data. Luckily for the Packers Gute understands this. The RAS puts science into the draft e.g measurable data. All picks are a risk but the RAS is the best crystal ball we have. This is not to say that it is the only factor; only the most important.

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pantz_bURp's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:54 pm

RAS this, RAS that...can we just give it a RAST already?

You lil' RAScal,

Pantz (32" inseam)

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T7Steve's picture

March 04, 2024 at 01:54 pm

Thanks for the rundown, Rex.

You gave us a lot of good player options to choose from. I'll keep watching these CHTVer gurus' comments to help me figure the answers to what direction to take to help start completing this team.

I've very seldom been even close (actually never) to guessing which direction BG goes with his picks. The only way I'd be surprised is if he doesn't surprise me with his picks. Some of the guys here have been close though. Probably due, at least in part, by these articles by you writers.

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splitpea1's picture

March 04, 2024 at 02:33 pm

Hopefully the importance of the R.A.S. score on the defensive side of the ball has been tempered by what we've actually seen on the field over the years. I'm tired of raw athletes who need a ton of time to develop, can't tackle, are undisciplined or confused in their assignments, or lack physicality. Time for Gute to evolve and work closely with Hadley to get this defense to become a force once and for all.

Not interested in any of the listed "risers" considering where they're likely to be drafted. And I still like Rakestraw. But Kinchens, wow, that was a TERRIBLE score, good for something like the bottom 20% of safeties all time. It was well known that he was a better football player than athlete, but I read this could push him down beyond the third round.

Jeez, T. Sweat almost looks like he has boy boobs. I don't know, maybe other DTs have them (not an area of study for me), but this case was kind of noticeable. He'll probably need a dietician/nutritionist and a trainer waiting for him as soon as he gets off the plane in whatever city drafts him.

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LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 04:31 pm

Jordan Davis has been ok for the Eagles but not great. Carter looked much better in his rookie year. And Davis is a much better athlete than Sweat, as is Vita Vea. What's odd is Murphy played more snaps in the A gap than Sweat did for Texas. You penetrators like Murphy in the scheme Hafley is going to run. Sweat will go to a 3-4 team.

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Coldworld's picture

March 04, 2024 at 04:52 pm

Reed’s RAS changes dramatically if you plug in the 4.37 that they claim they had Reed clocked at and were confident was representative. In retrospect Reed has proved that the Packers Scouts were right.

That’s something no algorithm can account for and this isn’t a reflection of RAS but a caution that all such metrics can be undermined by an unrepresentative performance. Kudos to our scouts, their process and Gute for having the confidence to rely on it.

4 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 05:12 pm

The overall investment into player talent, training, contracts, facilities. The amount of diligence done by the front office is commensurate with that. Despite the work and research there is still an element of an educated crap shoot, and yet I find it quaint when non-professionals critique a draft.

I guess it's similar when I give parenting advice despite not having children.

But like, I did my own research, man.

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stockholder's picture

March 04, 2024 at 05:47 pm

IMO Gute No longer watches tape.
And strictly goes by the RAS.
Oh- there is the senior bowl.
But he will always trust his own eyes first.
So just forget the rise and fall.
Because thats for stat guys.

The beauty is in the eye of the beholder.
And who looks like Tarzan gets crowned.
There's No Formula.
Gute No longer makes his living on scouting.

It's a sell job to the public and he's good at it.

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LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 06:01 pm

Yeah,it really sucks they have a very young, deep team.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 06:31 pm

According to Stock, that young, really deep team is exclusively the result of Gutekunst's ego. Damn Gutey and his outsized ego. Like Stock, I hope to find a humble GM who sucks balls.

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packer132's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:53 pm

Packers could win the Super Bowl and football (analyst) stock would say Gute got lucky. His posts are for entertainment (laughing) only as there is not one bit of football knowledge to them.

2 points
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Oppy's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:20 pm

This is easily the worst take ever.

3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

March 04, 2024 at 08:42 pm

He best take care of Love's blind side and picks a guy who can fill the production curve when A.Jones is sidelined.
He is in Year Six. Wolf and Ted brought home the Hardware. Agreed, this guy has to open his eyes and realize what a defensive player should look like, not a RAS score. So far, he hit on Jaire and Wyatt has a future if Hafley lets him play like Sapp. He has five holes to fill on the defensive side of the ball with contributors, not Projects. He never really made his living by scouting when you review the guys taken from his region of the Country.

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Bitternotsour's picture

March 04, 2024 at 09:11 pm

yeah. he totally bluffed his way into the job, they didn't even interview anyone.

what color is the air on your planet?

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Alberta_Packer's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:10 pm

There are far more good players who have high RAS scores - than not. Also it depends on the position. For instance, a high RAS score for RBs does not seem as crucial as for WRs. It is one of the more important assessment tools but not the only one. GMs make their draft selections based on a number of criteria - including RAS.

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LLCHESTY's picture

March 04, 2024 at 07:49 pm

Kinchens numbers were a hair better than shown. They have his 10 yard split at 1.64 when his actual split was 1.59. Jordan Fuller had a 1.64 split and a 4.67 40 compared to Kinchens 1.59 and 4.65 and many people want the Packers to sign Fuller as a FA.

Kinchens also looked fairly slow in the drills, other than catching everything. His performance costs him multiple rounds and considerable money unless something comes out about him being injured and he kills it at his pro day but it doesn't mean he can't play in the NFL. Probably end up as a SS though.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 04, 2024 at 08:52 pm

Kendall Fuller is the guy to bring onboard. Kinchens still plays to the ball and gets INTs. Same for Bishop and Vaki.
We don't know if this guy was ill, pulled muscle etc. He is not a 4.6 guy. 4.45 was a college timing. Le Roy Butler had a 5.05 RAS score. Where did he end up? A lot of bullshit gets spread about during Track Week...

2 points
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stockholder's picture

March 04, 2024 at 10:05 pm

Tyler Nubin is the best safety in the draft.
Kinchens numbers are exactly why you pass.
The red flags cannot be ignored.

1 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

March 04, 2024 at 11:05 pm

Pro Day will tell if these guys were slow, hungover, injured, or un-prepared for the track meet as speculated by the Hurricane Sports I.D. Mocks still moving Kinchens first, meaning nothing. T. Sweat gone at #34.
#29 Morgan LT
#41 Nubin S
#58 Beebe OG
#73 Legette WR
#88 P Wilson SLB
#91 C.Bishop S
#127 D.Johnson RB
#204 J. Briggs DT
#216 K.Vidal RB/KR
#243 A. Gould WR/PR
#251 N. Ceasar Edge

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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

March 05, 2024 at 01:34 am

Nubin is a box safety for the most part. He might be able to survive in a 2 high system, but it sounds like the Packers are gonna be running a lot of single high which requires a safety with sideline to sideline range. Nubin doesnt have that. Kinchens does. I dont care what his combine numbers say cuz the film is littered with him making plays all over the field from single high alignment. Box safeties are a dime a dozen. Guys like Kinchens are rare.

1 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

March 05, 2024 at 01:31 am

Hes a phenomenal deep safety whos a far better athlete than his combine numbers suggest. This is why I hate the combine. People want to pretend 3 years of sterling play never happened because of one day of poor testing in spandex. If Im Gute, im still drafting him at #25. Why? Because hes a playmaker at a position of dire need. Dont overthink it. Hes a difference maker and thats all we need to know.

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stockholder's picture

March 05, 2024 at 06:34 am

Sign Savage then.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 05, 2024 at 11:12 am

May have to move up a bit if his Pro Day testing shows improvement. The Film doesn't lie, PEDs do.

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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

March 05, 2024 at 01:27 am

Film doesnt lie. Kinchens is the best deep safety in this class and its not close. Hes also a lot better athlete than his combine scores represent. Never forget, the best football player who ever lived (Jerry Rice) ran a 4.70 40 yd dash. Inversely, Darnell Savage ran a 4.36 and what did that do for him? Screw the combine, screw RAS scores, screw SPARQ scores, screw it all. We need football players. End of story.

1 points
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skydancer506's picture

March 05, 2024 at 02:24 am

Don't overlook Frank Crum, OT - Wyoming, as a late round pick. He's 6-8 313 lbs and has a 9.82 RAS. For such a big guy, he ran the 40 in 4.94 seconds, had a 31.5-inch vertical, 9-foot-2 broad jump and is skilled at the position. He played in the Mountain West so he gets overlooked by most Mock Drafts. Still, I could see the Packers picking him up in the sixth round with pick 204 or, after having such a good combine, rising as high as pick 168 in the fifth round.

Another athletic player with a high RAS to keep an eye on is Illinois tight end Tip Reiman. His measurables are nearly identical to, or slightly greater than, Tucker Kraft's last year. Kraft is the better receiver but Reiman is a better TE off the line. He's 6-4 and 271 pounds (Kraft is 6-4 254 pounds) runs a 4.64 (Kraft was 4.69). Reiman has a 9.93 RAS and Kraft had a 9.65. He is leaving college a year early and so far he is projected to be either a 7th rounder or an undrafted free agent. If I was Brian Gutekunst, I would select him in round 7, pick 243, if he's still available, as a replacement for Josiah Deguara, should they let him walk in free agency. After all, behind Luke Musgrave, Tucker Kraft and Ben Sims, he isn't going to be needed for his hands. Being fourth on the depth chart as a blocking tight end will give Reiman the opportunity to contribute while developing and still keeping the expectations low. Additionally, Reiman looks forward to playing on special teams, which is something that most coaches and GMs like out of their rookies. There's a tremendous upside here with this pick.

0 points
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NFLfan's picture

March 05, 2024 at 08:36 am

We have a number of seasoned scouts here-lol.

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

March 05, 2024 at 09:01 am

RAS is just an algorithm that tries to measure athleticism. It does so quite well if a) the testing data is accurate and b) the player is seen as filling a role that matches how RAS weights the tests.

There are other algorithms out there, teams have their own and professional services provide them too. They just aren’t available to us. In that sense, RAS is a nice easy tool for us fans.

It’s also a trap. RAS has no interest in actual football played and doesn’t pretend to. There’s no game performance input at all. It does not rate learning, drive or personality either. It simply compares athletes it assigns to positional pigeonholes and says for these this is how it thinks the tests best combine to show relevant physical prowess.

Arguably it’s not all that good at that. How often does one attribute that is superlative render the rest largely immaterial? Adams incredible feet, Jones’ ability to burst and squeeze through negligible backs trumped a lack of 40 speed completely. Wicks is another. Look at how it underplayed Krafts quick feet and balance. Those are just obvious recent Packer examples.

Ideally the holy grail is the best athlete who is the most driven and instinctive. RAS and its ilk address only one of three (arguably less at a position like QB where the mental aspects are key). Even were RAS perfect in that, it’s s pretty poor basis for reliance. Which is why teams retain scouts, but it’s not why most picks by all teams are weighted to highly athletic people. That’s the nature of pro sports.

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skydancer506's picture

March 05, 2024 at 02:37 pm

RAS (or whatever proprietary measurement tool the teams use) is just another tool in the toolbox. I don't know any GMs in the league who rely exclusively on one tool to make their draft decisions for them. Of course you have to look at the tape. Scouts have been following many of these these players for years, since they were in high school. By the time they get to the Combine, teams are making choices on just a handful of players.

Fans don't get the opportunity to make the comparisons of players like the teams do. That's where RAS comes in. Regardless of what one thinks of the quality of the tool, it's the best that is available until someone else develops a better tool.

GMs make their decisions based upon athleticism, what they see on film, character references, interviews, medical data - that they acquire all throughout the year. Fans get to tune in from the Combine to the Draft and try to assess what teams will do in just two months. That's a lot of data to wade through in such a short time.

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Dragon5's picture

March 05, 2024 at 02:36 pm

Performing under pressure is the great equalizer among athleticism, technical ability, and IQ traits. Develop dynamic combine tests that measure performance under pressure and you'll quickly separate wheat from chaff.

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