Around the NFC North: Breakout Players

Identifying breakout players is nearly impossible in the NFL. For your own team, every former sixth round pick who flashed in week 11 last year deserves an upgrade in Madden; meanwhile, your rivals' first-round picks who have dealt with injuries for a couple years are clearly busts. Let's make a good faith effort to talk about which players are breakout candidates for the three inferior NFC North teams. 

Lions

Jameson Williams is the obvious answer here. Williams was such an elite athlete and player at Alabama that the Lions took him 12th overall despite a torn ACL and no one thought it was a reach. He's probably taken a little longer than expected to come back from that injury and hasn't really had the impact you want out of a 12th overall pick. If he's going to make the leap, it needs to happen this year. 

The under the radar candidate who could really change things up for this team is Marcus Davenport. Davenport was the edge who the Saints traded two firsts (one of which became Jaire Alexander) with the Packers to move up. He had some good years in New Orleans but never quite reached his potential. Now he's on a team with plenty of space eaters in the middle and an opposite side edge who will demand double teams. Davenport has the athletics ability and experience to be one of the most impactful second edges in the NFL, let's see if he can finally pull it off. 

Bears

Jaylon Johnson was the guy last year. The corner back averaged a PFF grade around 60 his first three seasons before bursting through to an over 90 grade last season. It may be more important for the Bears for Johnson to continue his current level of play than for anyone else to break through. Going from a middle of the pack corner to the best in the NFL in a contract year is more than a little suspicious. 

That said, the Bears' defense does have a few other candidates. Gervon Dexter was horrific in his rookie year but profiled as a perfect 3-tech for Matt Eberflus's defense. Kyler Gordon was drafted to be the team's feisty slot corner and finally looked good doing it at least part of the time last year. Jack Sanborn looked like he could be one of the league's best run stuffers and blitzers in base defense. 

Vikings

The Vikings better hope that Jordan Addison is a breakout candidate. The very small first-round receiver looked good at times last year and then would have games where he didn't look like he would rack the Packers' top-7 receivers. Addison played like the best receiver in college football at Pitt with Kenny Pickett, then went to USC and regressed and now under performed in his rookie year. Obviously, Addison has plenty of potential still - he wouldn't have been taken in the first round if he didn't, but this is another case where the team needs to start getting a little nervous if he doesn't breakout this year. 

On the defensive side, Cam Bynum improved a lot in his first year with Brian Flores and could be ready to take the next step right as Harrison Smith puts in an order for a walker. Bynum's was PFF's fourth-ranked safety through 14 weeks last year before falling off a cliff. It's no coincidence that the Vikings' defense as a hole fell off one at the same time. The next step for him and for the Vikings is consistency.

   

 

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Mike Price is a lifelong Packers fan who recently moved form Utah to Stoughton (a Madison suberb). You can follow him on twitter at @themikeprice.

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Comments (7)

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GregC's picture

June 27, 2024 at 08:59 pm

Why do these articles about division rivals always have to be so homer-ish? Jordan Addison had 70 catches for 911 yards and 10 TDs as a rookie. I wouldn't call that under performing.

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LeotisHarris's picture

June 27, 2024 at 10:01 pm

Fair question. I'm sitting here trying to get my head around "the Vikings defense as a hole."

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Bitternotsour's picture

June 28, 2024 at 02:02 pm

I think Homer-ish is harsh. I think it might be more accurate to say Homer-ian.

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T7Steve's picture

June 28, 2024 at 06:57 am

"Jameson Williams is the obvious answer here."-"hasn't really had the impact you want out of a 12th overall pick. If he's going to make the leap, it needs to happen this year."

Hope he doesn't have shades of one of our 12th rounders Kenny Clark, or we'll have trouble with this kid for a long time

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Leatherhead's picture

June 28, 2024 at 11:50 am

Here's the thing working against Williams having a break year: Math.

The Lions Big 3 last year of Amon-Ra, Laporta, and Gibbs got 355 targets among them. Reynolds and Raymond had another 108 between them. That's already 463 targets, out of a season total of 574.

If you want to target Williams more than 42 times, then you're going to have to target some other people less. And that is why if Jameson Williams has a break out year, it's almost certainly because guys ahead of him got hurt and missed time. I'm mostly talking Amon Ra, but it could be Reynolds and/or Raymond. The Lions are similar to the Packers when we had Davante Adams: Half of your WR targets go to one guy, and the other guys get scraps. Of course, the Lions also have a TE who features prominently in the passing game, too, and that's another guy who's going to be fed before Williams.

As regards Davenport, he's from my alma mater and I'd love it if he was a HOFer, but the reality is, he's been kind of overvalued since draft day and although he's a decent player, it's going to take more than one DL to turn around one of the weakest defenses in the league.

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GregC's picture

June 28, 2024 at 06:22 pm

I think you are right that he will mostly have to gain at the expense of teammates, as the Lions pretty much maxed out their offensive potential last year: 395 yards per game, which was third in the league and only six yards per game less than the Dolphins and three less than the 49ers.

On the other hand, Jameson missed five games last year, so if he plays in all 17 games, that's a big jump in production even if he doesn't improve his performance. And he only had 354 receiving yards last year--that's slightly less than 30 yards per game. There's a lot of room for improvement there.

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barutanseijin's picture

June 30, 2024 at 05:18 am

Last season saw him running sloppy routes, jogging some, losing track of the ball and just plain dropping it. Oh, and he got suspended , too. Yeah, yeah he’s on Dan Campbell’s team of only High Character Guys, but he sure seems to be a character issue. I think he’ll continue to frustrate Detroit fans.

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